Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valencia vs Castellon

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Sub
Alcazar L. In: Conde M.
Out: Alcazar L.
46'
Sub
Ugrinic F. In: Dieng A.
Out: Ugrinic F.
46'
Sub
Duro H. In: Raba D.
Out: Duro H.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Valencia and Castellon finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castellon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Valencia
20%
Draws
51%
Castellon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castellon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Castellon haven't matched Valencia's recent run of results.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Valencia Clean Sheet 14%
Castellon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valencia Castellon
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.55 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Valencia vs Castellon
1:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Valencia vs Castellon
1:2
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Valencia vs Castellon
0:0
Aug 3, 2022 Club Friendly
Castellon vs Valencia
1:0
Aug 22, 2020 Club Friendly
Valencia vs Castellon
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Dieng A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Castellon Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jakobsen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valencia 30 / 100
Castellon 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valencia Castellon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valencia found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Castellon has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Valencia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valencia VS Castellon
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valencia

(Home)
12 Aug
Valencia
0 : 1
Teruel
08 Aug
Valencia
1 : 2
Newcastle Utd
01 Aug
Stoke City
1 : 1
Valencia
28 Jul
Derby
1 : 2
Valencia
25 Jul
Valencia
1 : 2
Castellon
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Castellon

(Away)
08 Aug
Castellon
1 : 3
Levante
07 Aug
Hercules
0 : 1
Castellon
31 Jul
Alaves
3 : 0
Castellon
29 Jul
Girona
3 : 3
Castellon
25 Jul
Valencia
1 : 2
Castellon
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