Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valencia vs Castellon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Sub
Alcazar L. In: Conde M.
Out: Alcazar L.
46'
Sub
Ugrinic F. In: Dieng A.
Out: Ugrinic F.
46'
Sub
Duro H. In: Raba D.
Out: Duro H.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Valencia and Castellon finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castellon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Valencia
15%
Draws
69%
Castellon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Valencia haven't matched Castellon's recent run of results.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Castellon taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Valencia Clean Sheet 12%
Castellon Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valencia Castellon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.24 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Valencia vs Castellon
1:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Valencia vs Castellon
1:2
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Valencia vs Castellon
0:0
Aug 3, 2022 Club Friendly
Castellon vs Valencia
1:0
Aug 22, 2020 Club Friendly
Valencia vs Castellon
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Dieng A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Castellon Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jakobsen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valencia 10 / 100
Castellon 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valencia Castellon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valencia found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Castellon has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Valencia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valencia VS Castellon
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valencia

(Home)
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1
Valencia
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0
Valencia
06 Sept
Valencia
0 : 5
Barcelona
30 Aug
Dep. A Coruna
3 : 1
Valencia
Page 1 of 6

Castellon

(Away)
04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1
AD Ceuta
28 Sept
Leganes
0 : 2
Castellon
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2
Castellon
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0
Albacete
Page 1 of 6