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Valencia vs Villarreal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valencia host Villarreal in the LaLiga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Valencia have averaged 1.28 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Villarreal's 1.83 scored and 1.33 conceded. Head-to-head, Valencia have won 0 to Villarreal's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.75, favoring Villarreal. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Valencia
15%
Draws
59%
Villarreal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villarreal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Valencia haven't matched Villarreal's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Valencia Clean Sheet 12%
Villarreal Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valencia Villarreal
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Valencia
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Villarreal
0:2
Feb 15, 2025 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Valencia
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 LaLiga
Valencia vs Villarreal
1:1
Mar 17, 2024 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Valencia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valencia 30 / 100
Villarreal 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valencia Villarreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarreal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarreal let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Valencia scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Valencia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valencia VS Villarreal
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Valencia

(Home)
11 Oct
Racing Santander
2 : 2
Valencia
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1
Valencia
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0
Valencia
06 Sept
Valencia
0 : 5
Barcelona
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Villarreal

(Away)
13 Oct
Villarreal
3 : 1
Napoli
10 Oct
Real Madrid
1 : 0
Villarreal
20 Sept
Villarreal
3 : 1
Levante
17 Sept
Malaga
1 : 3
Villarreal
14 Sept
Villarreal
1 : 2
Betis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 8 8 0 0 34:7 24
2 Atl. Madrid 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
3 Betis 8 6 1 1 14:9 19
4 Real Madrid 8 6 0 2 19:8 18
5 Sevilla 8 4 2 2 13:12 14
6 Real Sociedad 8 4 1 3 12:15 13
7 Alaves 8 3 2 3 12:8 11
8 Dep. A Coruna 8 2 4 2 12:11 10
9 Celta Vigo 8 1 5 2 8:6 8
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 Villarreal 8 2 2 4 13:13 8
12 Espanyol 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
13 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
14 Getafe 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
15 Racing Santander 8 2 2 4 13:23 8
16 Osasuna 8 2 2 4 8:18 8
17 Levante 7 1 3 3 11:15 6
18 Elche 8 1 3 4 11:17 6
19 Valencia 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
20 Malaga 8 0 4 4 4:13 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)