Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valencia W vs Villarreal W

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 Estadio Antonio Puchades, Valencia
Sat, May 30, 2026
1 - 1
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Salvador Garcia A.
90' Event
Monente L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Valencia W
20%
Draws
80%
Villarreal W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villarreal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Valencia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Valencia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Valencia W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Valencia W Clean Sheet 12%
Villarreal W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valencia W Villarreal W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Valencia W vs Villarreal W
1:1
May 23, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Villarreal W vs Valencia W
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Villarreal W vs Valencia W
2:2
Nov 15, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Valencia W vs Villarreal W
1:0
Aug 21, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Valencia W vs Villarreal W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valencia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Monente L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Villarreal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Salvador Garcia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valencia W 30 / 100
Villarreal W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valencia W Villarreal W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarreal W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Villarreal W conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Valencia W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Villarreal W's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Valencia W VS Villarreal W
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valencia W

(Home)
04 Oct
Valencia W
0 : 1
Real Sociedad W
27 Sept
Valencia W
1 : 2
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1
Valencia W
13 Sept
Logrono W
2 : 1
Valencia W
05 Sept
Valencia W
1 : 3
Madrid CFF W
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Villarreal W

(Away)
04 Oct
Sport Extremadura CD W
1 : 0
Villarreal W
26 Sept
Villarreal W
1 : 1
Athletic Bilbao B W
19 Sept
Real Union W
1 : 2
Villarreal W
13 Sept
Tenerife B W
1 : 1
Villarreal W
03 Sept
Levante W
4 : 1
Villarreal W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Valencia W 4
Albacete W 3
Villarreal W 5
CA Osasuna W 2
Final
Valencia W 1
Villarreal W 1