Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valenciano vs AD Fafe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 game between Valenciano and AD Fafe finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Fafe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Valenciano
15%
Draws
65%
AD Fafe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Fafe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • AD Fafe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AD Fafe a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AD Fafe have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Valenciano Clean Sheet 20%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valenciano AD Fafe
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Fafe vs Valenciano
3:0
Feb 16, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Valenciano vs AD Fafe
0:2
Dec 1, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Valenciano vs AD Fafe
1:1
Sep 8, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Fafe vs Valenciano
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valenciano 10 / 100
AD Fafe 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valenciano AD Fafe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Fafe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Valenciano scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

AD Fafe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Valenciano stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Fafe
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valenciano

(Home)
31 Aug
Valenciano
1 : 4
SC Vianense
11 Sept
Valenciano
2 : 4
Merelinense
20 Oct
Valenciano
0 : 7
Vitoria Guimaraes
30 Sept
Praia Milfontes
2 : 5
Valenciano
08 Sept
AD Limianos
4 : 0
Valenciano
Page 1 of 6

AD Fafe

(Away)
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0
Lajense
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
AD Fafe
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilaverdense FC 14 8 4 2 20:9 39
2 AD Fafe 14 6 4 4 20:14 39
3 SC Vianense 14 6 6 2 19:13 37
4 SC Mirandela 14 4 7 3 18:13 34
5 Santa Maria FC 14 5 5 4 15:15 31
6 Pedras Salgadas 14 3 6 5 12:15 23
7 Ninense 14 3 5 6 12:19 18
8 Valenciano 14 1 3 10 11:29 17
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)