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Valenciano vs Ninense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014
Valenciano Logo

Valenciano

5 - 1
FT
Ninense Logo

Ninense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 game between Valenciano and Ninense finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valenciano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Valenciano
30%
Draws
47%
Ninense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ninense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Valenciano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ninense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Valenciano Clean Sheet 16%
Ninense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valenciano Ninense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.97 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ninense vs Valenciano
1:1
Mar 30, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Valenciano vs Ninense
5:1
Jan 26, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ninense vs Valenciano
1:0
Nov 17, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Valenciano vs Ninense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valenciano 10 / 100
Ninense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valenciano Ninense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ninense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ninense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Valenciano scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Valenciano has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valenciano VS Ninense
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valenciano

(Home)
31 Aug
Valenciano
1 : 4
SC Vianense
11 Sept
Valenciano
2 : 4
Merelinense
20 Oct
Valenciano
0 : 7
Vitoria Guimaraes
30 Sept
Praia Milfontes
2 : 5
Valenciano
08 Sept
AD Limianos
4 : 0
Valenciano
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Ninense

(Away)
24 May
Ninense
1 : 1
Valenciano
11 May
Santa Maria FC
1 : 1
Ninense
04 May
Vilaverdense FC
1 : 0
Ninense
27 Apr
Ninense
1 : 0
SC Mirandela
19 Apr
Pedras Salgadas
1 : 1
Ninense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilaverdense FC 14 8 4 2 20:9 39
2 AD Fafe 14 6 4 4 20:14 39
3 SC Vianense 14 6 6 2 19:13 37
4 SC Mirandela 14 4 7 3 18:13 34
5 Santa Maria FC 14 5 5 4 15:15 31
6 Pedras Salgadas 14 3 6 5 12:15 23
7 Ninense 14 3 5 6 12:19 18
8 Valenciano 14 1 3 10 11:29 17
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)