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Valenciennes vs Boulogne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Nassiri A.
57' Event
Zogba M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Valenciennes
35%
Draws
28%
Boulogne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Valenciennes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Valenciennes have won more games recently than Boulogne.
  • Model gives Valenciennes a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 68%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valenciennes Boulogne
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.14 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Valenciennes vs Boulogne
1:1
Mar 28, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Boulogne
2:3
Nov 1, 2024 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Valenciennes
0:0
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Valenciennes vs Boulogne
2:1
Jul 24, 2015 Club Friendly
Valenciennes vs Boulogne
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valenciennes Compare

Top Goalscorer Zogba M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Boulogne Compare

Top Goalscorer Nassiri A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valenciennes 68 / 100
Boulogne 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valenciennes Boulogne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valenciennes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valenciennes found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Boulogne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Valenciennes went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valenciennes VS Boulogne
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valenciennes

(Home)
03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0
Valenciennes
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Valenciennes
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury 91
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1
Valenciennes
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Boulogne

(Away)
09 Oct
Sochaux
1 : 1
Boulogne
02 Oct
Le Havre
6 : 1
Boulogne
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
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