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Valentine vs Charlestown Azzurri

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Croudace Bay Complex, Lake Macquarie
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
White K.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Northern NSW game between Valentine and Charlestown Azzurri finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valentine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Valentine
6%
Draws
4%
Charlestown Azzurri
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Valentine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Valentine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Valentine are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Valentine Clean Sheet 20%
Charlestown Azzurri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valentine Charlestown Azzurri
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Charlestown Azzurri
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Valentine
1:2
Jul 6, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Valentine
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Charlestown Azzurri
1:5
Aug 18, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Charlestown Azzurri
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valentine Compare

Top Goalscorer White K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Charlestown Azzurri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valentine 85 / 100
Charlestown Azzurri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valentine Charlestown Azzurri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlestown Azzurri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: Charlestown Azzurri registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Valentine scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Valentine VS Charlestown Azzurri
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Valentine

(Home)
25 Jul
Valentine
1 : 0
Charlestown Azzurri
12 Jul
Valentine
3 : 2
Kahibah
03 Jul
Cooks Hill United
3 : 1
Valentine
27 Jun
Valentine
1 : 1
Lambton Jaffas FC
20 Jun
Valentine
2 : 1
Edgeworth Eagles FC
Page 1 of 7

Charlestown Azzurri

(Away)
25 Jul
Valentine
1 : 0
Charlestown Azzurri
15 Jul
Charlestown Azzurri
0 : 5
Weston Workers Bears
11 Jul
Cooks Hill United
4 : 0
Charlestown Azzurri
01 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
7 : 1
Charlestown Azzurri
27 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3
Belmont Swansea United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadmeadow Magic FC19134250:2243
2Weston Workers Bears19113544:3136
3Maitland19103634:2933
4Edgeworth Eagles FC1895436:2932
5Belmont Swansea United1995543:3832
6Cooks Hill United1985637:3129
7Lambton Jaffas FC20641035:3122
8Valentine1964919:3622
9Newcastle Olympic2056938:3621
10Adamstown Rosebud1845925:3617
11Kahibah19521231:4717
12Charlestown Azzurri19421324:5014
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)