Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valentine vs Charlestown Azzurri

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Croudace Bay Complex, Lake Macquarie
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
White K.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Northern NSW game between Valentine and Charlestown Azzurri finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valentine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Valentine
15%
Draws
0%
Charlestown Azzurri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valentine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Valentine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Valentine are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Valentine Clean Sheet 20%
Charlestown Azzurri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valentine Charlestown Azzurri
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Charlestown Azzurri
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Valentine
1:2
Jul 6, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Valentine
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Charlestown Azzurri
1:5
Aug 18, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Charlestown Azzurri
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valentine Compare

Top Goalscorer White K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Charlestown Azzurri Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valentine 85 / 100
Charlestown Azzurri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valentine Charlestown Azzurri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valentine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlestown Azzurri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Charlestown Azzurri registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Valentine scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Valentine VS Charlestown Azzurri
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Valentine

(Home)
16 Aug
Valentine
0 : 0
Weston Workers Bears
08 Aug
Newcastle Olympic
1 : 2
Valentine
01 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 1
Valentine
25 Jul
Valentine
1 : 0
Charlestown Azzurri
12 Jul
Valentine
3 : 2
Kahibah
Page 1 of 7

Charlestown Azzurri

(Away)
16 Aug
Broadmeadow Magic FC
8 : 0
Charlestown Azzurri
12 Aug
Charlestown Azzurri
0 : 2
Edgeworth Eagles FC
09 Aug
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 2
Maitland
25 Jul
Valentine
1 : 0
Charlestown Azzurri
15 Jul
Charlestown Azzurri
0 : 5
Weston Workers Bears
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Broadmeadow Magic FC 22 15 4 3 59:23 49
2 Maitland 22 13 3 6 40:32 42
3 Weston Workers Bears 22 12 5 5 48:33 41
4 Edgeworth Eagles FC 22 11 6 5 41:31 39
5 Belmont Swansea United 22 10 5 7 47:44 35
6 Cooks Hill United 22 9 6 7 43:36 33
7 Valentine 22 7 5 10 22:39 26
8 Lambton Jaffas FC 22 7 4 11 38:33 25
9 Adamstown Rosebud 22 6 6 10 34:45 24
10 Newcastle Olympic 22 5 6 11 39:40 21
11 Kahibah 22 6 2 14 35:53 20
12 Charlestown Azzurri 22 4 2 16 25:62 14
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)