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Valenzana vs AS Biellese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coppa Italia Serie D. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Valenzana have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against AS Biellese's 1.86 scored and 0.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Valenzana have won 2 to AS Biellese's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 11, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.75, favoring AS Biellese. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Valenzana
20%
Draws
52%
AS Biellese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Biellese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Biellese come out ahead of Valenzana on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on AS Biellese taking it.
  • AS Biellese arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AS Biellese, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Valenzana Clean Sheet 12%
AS Biellese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valenzana AS Biellese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Valenzana vs AS Biellese
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group A
AS Biellese vs Valenzana
2:0
May 6, 2007 Lega Pro C2/A
AS Biellese vs Valenzana
1:0
Dec 17, 2006 Lega Pro C2/A
Valenzana vs AS Biellese
2:1
Apr 15, 2006 Lega Pro C2/A
AS Biellese vs Valenzana
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valenzana 22 / 100
AS Biellese 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valenzana AS Biellese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Biellese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valenzana found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Valenzana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: AS Biellese conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Valenzana VS AS Biellese
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valenzana

(Home)
07 Oct
Valenzana
3 : 2
Saluzzo
04 Oct
Fezzanese
1 : 2
Valenzana
27 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2
Borgosesia Calcio
20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2
Valenzana
16 Sept
Valenzana
0 : 1
GSD Lascaris
Page 1 of 6

AS Biellese

(Away)
07 Oct
AS Biellese
3 : 2
Alessandria
04 Oct
AS Biellese
4 : 1
Gozzano
27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
AS Biellese
20 Sept
AS Biellese
1 : 1
Chisola
16 Sept
Bra
0 : 1
AS Biellese
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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