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Valenzana vs Chisola

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Azizi B.
26' Event
Rastrelli N.
42' Event
Greco I.

AI Match Summary

Chisola in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chisola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Valenzana
20%
Draws
40%
Chisola
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chisola have won more games recently than Valenzana.
  • Model gives Valenzana a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Valenzana Clean Sheet 18%
Chisola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valenzana Chisola
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Valenzana vs Chisola
2:3
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Valenzana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valenzana Compare

Top Goalscorer Greco I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palazzolo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Chisola Compare

Top Goalscorer Azizi B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rastrelli N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valenzana 36 / 100
Chisola 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valenzana Chisola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valenzana found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Chisola's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Valenzana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valenzana VS Chisola
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valenzana

(Home)
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0
Lavagnese
12 Apr
Valenzana
1 : 1
Gozzano
02 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 2
Valenzana
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Chisola

(Away)
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Gozzano
3 : 2
Chisola
12 Apr
Chisola
0 : 0
Ligorna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)