Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valenzana vs Gozzano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Chelli G.
45' Event
Lettieri V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Valenzana and Gozzano finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Valenzana
20%
Draws
73%
Gozzano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gozzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Gozzano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Gozzano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Valenzana Clean Sheet 15%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valenzana Gozzano
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.89 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Valenzana vs Gozzano
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Valenzana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valenzana Compare

Top Goalscorer Chelli G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gozzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Lettieri V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valenzana 19 / 100
Gozzano 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valenzana Gozzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gozzano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valenzana found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Gozzano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Valenzana remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valenzana VS Gozzano
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valenzana

(Home)
27 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2
Borgosesia Calcio
20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2
Valenzana
16 Sept
Valenzana
0 : 1
GSD Lascaris
12 Sept
Millesimo
2 : 1
Valenzana
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2
Alessandria
Page 1 of 6

Gozzano

(Away)
27 Sept
Gozzano
2 : 1
Sanremese
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Gozzano
3 : 0
GSD Lascaris
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)