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Valerenga U19 vs Sogndal U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Nasjonal U19 CL 2025
Valerenga U19 Logo

Valerenga U19

3 - 1
FT
Sogndal U19 Logo

Sogndal U19

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Samson H.
37' Event
Morrow B.
40' Event
Samson H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 game between Valerenga U19 and Sogndal U19 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valerenga U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Valerenga U19
15%
Draws
26%
Sogndal U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valerenga U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sogndal U19's 1.93 goals per match outpaces what Valerenga U19 have produced (1.86).
  • Win probability leans Valerenga U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Valerenga U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Sogndal U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga U19 Sogndal U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.86 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Valerenga U19 vs Sogndal U19
3:1
Jan 27, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Sogndal U19 vs Valerenga U19
1:4
Oct 30, 2024 Nasjonal U19 CL
Sogndal U19 vs Valerenga U19
5:0
Nov 1, 2023 Nasjonal U19 CL
Valerenga U19 vs Sogndal U19
1:3
Oct 25, 2023 Nasjonal U19 CL
Sogndal U19 vs Valerenga U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valerenga U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Samson H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morrow B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Sogndal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stavo V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga U19 84 / 100
Sogndal U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga U19 Sogndal U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valerenga U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sogndal U19 conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Valerenga U19 scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Valerenga U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga U19 VS Sogndal U19
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga U19

(Home)
12 Aug
Brann U19
0 : 1
Valerenga U19
21 Jul
Valerenga U19
1 : 4
Brann U19
28 Apr
Valerenga U19
2 : 0
Kongsvinger U19
27 Mar
Odds BK U19
6 : 0
Valerenga U19
13 Mar
Kristiansund U19
2 : 3
Valerenga U19
Page 1 of 6

Sogndal U19

(Away)
29 Apr
Asane U19
4 : 0
Sogndal U19
26 Mar
Asane U19
2 : 1
Sogndal U19
21 Mar
Sogndal U19
3 : 2
Bryne U19
14 Mar
Stromsgodset U19
7 : 0
Sogndal U19
22 Feb
Sogndal U19
3 : 3
Kfum Oslo U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Odds BK U19 6 3 2 1 13:11 11
2 Haugesund U19 6 3 1 2 18:12 10
3 Viking U19 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
4 Start U19 6 1 1 4 8:19 4
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Losers Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalesund U19 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Stabaek U19 6 2 2 2 14:11 8
3 Rosenborg U19 6 2 2 2 15:13 8
4 Molde U19 6 1 2 3 8:15 5
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Losers Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tromso U19 6 5 0 1 20:8 15
2 Lillestrom U19 6 4 0 2 18:10 12
3 Bodo/Glimt U19 6 2 0 4 7:18 6
4 Ham-Kam U19 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Losers Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valerenga U19 6 4 0 2 18:13 12
2 Brann U19 6 3 0 3 18:11 9
3 Stromsgodset U19 6 3 0 3 18:26 9
4 Sogndal U19 6 2 0 4 14:18 6
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Losers Play Offs)