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Valerenga U19 vs Viking U19

Norway Norway

Nasjonal U19 CL 2024
Wed, Oct 2, 2024
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Nasjonal U19 CL 2024. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Viking U19 have shipped 2.19 goals a game lately, while Valerenga U19 have conceded 2.1 and scored 2.13. Past meetings favor Valerenga U19 slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2024, ending 1:2. xG projections (2.00 - 2.38) back Valerenga U19 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Valerenga U19
15%
Draws
42%
Viking U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valerenga U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Viking U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Viking U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Valerenga U19, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Valerenga U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Viking U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga U19 Viking U19
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 1
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.13 2.56
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2024 Nasjonal U19 CL
Viking U19 vs Valerenga U19
1:2
Oct 2, 2024 Nasjonal U19 CL
Valerenga U19 vs Viking U19
0:0
Sep 13, 2022 Nasjonal U19 CL
Valerenga U19 vs Viking U19
7:6
Jul 2, 2021 Junior U19
Valerenga U19 vs Viking U19
3:5
Jul 12, 2014 Junior Elite Tournament
Valerenga U19 vs Viking U19
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga U19 30 / 100
Viking U19 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga U19 Viking U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viking U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Valerenga U19's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Valerenga U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga U19 VS Viking U19
2.13 Goals Scored 2.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga U19

(Home)
12 Aug
Brann U19
0 : 1
Valerenga U19
21 Jul
Valerenga U19
1 : 4
Brann U19
28 Apr
Valerenga U19
2 : 0
Kongsvinger U19
27 Mar
Odds BK U19
6 : 0
Valerenga U19
13 Mar
Kristiansund U19
2 : 3
Valerenga U19
Page 1 of 6

Viking U19

(Away)
10 Sept
Brann U19
5 : 0
Viking U19
09 Sept
VfB Stuttgart U19
5 : 0
Viking U19
13 Aug
Lyn U19
2 : 4
Viking U19
30 Jul
Viking U19
6 : 2
Lyn U19
29 Apr
Viking U19
4 : 3
Kristiansund U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rosenborg U19 5
Start U19 3
Bodo/Glimt U19 2
Sogndal U19 3
Viking U19 5
Ham-Kam U19 4
Stromsgodset U19 6
Valerenga U19 8
Semi-finals
Rosenborg U19 4
Sogndal U19 5
Viking U19 1
Valerenga U19 2
Final
Sogndal U19 5
Valerenga U19 0