Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Valerenga host Aalesund in the Eliteserien. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Aalesund have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Valerenga have conceded 2 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Valerenga slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 24, 2024, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.81) back Valerenga to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Valerenga come out ahead of Aalesund on wins alone.
- Valerenga are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Valerenga here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valerenga | Aalesund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Valerenga scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Aalesund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Recent resilience: Valerenga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 29:10 | 27 |
| 2 | Tromso | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18:14 | 25 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28:11 | 23 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Molde | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Ham-Kam | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:16 | 14 |
| 8 | Sandefjord | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Valerenga | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 | Fredrikstad | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Brann | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 24:20 | 13 |
| 12 | KFUM Oslo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 12 |
| 13 | Aalesund | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Kristiansund | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Rosenborg | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 16 | Start | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13:28 | 7 |