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Valerenga W vs Aalesund W

Norway Norway

Norway Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Inauen N.
80' Event
Luthcke C.
90' Event
Nodland I.

AI Match Summary

The Norway Cup Women game between Valerenga W and Aalesund W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalesund W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Valerenga W
6%
Draws
90%
Aalesund W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aalesund W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aalesund W come out ahead of Valerenga W on wins alone.
  • Aalesund W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Cup games in Norway Cup Women usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Valerenga W Clean Sheet 10%
Aalesund W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga W Aalesund W
Matches Played 33 37
Wins 19 30
Draws 2 3
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 3.13 3
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Norway Cup Women
Valerenga W vs Aalesund W
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Toppserien Women
Valerenga W vs Aalesund W
0:2
Jun 21, 2023 Norway Cup Women
Valerenga W vs Aalesund W
5:2
Aug 7, 2019 Norway Cup Women
Aalesund W vs Valerenga W
1:3
Aug 13, 2013 Norway Cup Women
Aalesund W vs Valerenga W
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valerenga W Compare

Top Goalscorer Inauen N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Aalesund W Compare

Top Goalscorer Luthcke C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nodland I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga W 10 / 100
Aalesund W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga W Aalesund W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Valerenga W scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Aalesund W conceded in 57% of 37 recent games.

Solid form: Valerenga W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga W VS Aalesund W
3.13 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kongsvinger W2
Grei W5
Bodo/Glimt W-
TBD-
Ovrevoll Hosle W1
Frigg W2
TBD-
Lyn W-
Fana W3
Klepp W2
Lyngbo W2
Fyllingsdalen W5
Forde W0
Sogndal W5
TBD-
Brann W-
Raufoss W0
Viking W2
TBD-
Haugesund W-
Grimstad W1
Bryne W3
Arendal W0
Start W7
Ranheim W1
Tynset W4
TBD-
LSK Kvinner W-
Sarpsborg 08 W2
Kolbotn W0
TBD-
Honefoss W-
Sandefjord W2
Arna-Bjornar W3
KFUM Oslo W0
Asane W3
Rana FK W1
Malvik W3
TBD-
Rosenborg W-
Alta W3
Krokelvdalen W0
TBD-
Roa W-
Stromsgodset W1
Odds BK W2
TBD-
Stabaek W-
Melbo W1
Medkila W8
Lillestrom W1
Tromso W9
Storhamar Fotball W0
Ham-Kam W3
Valerenga W-
TBD-
Hodd W0
Kil/Hemne W3
TBD-
Aalesund W-
Steinkjer W0
Tiller W4
TBD-
Molde W-
1/16-finals
Grei W3
Bodo/Glimt W1
Frigg W0
Lyn W4
Fana W2
Fyllingsdalen W1
Sogndal W1
Brann W5
Viking W3
Haugesund W2
Bryne W1
Start W2
Tynset W0
LSK Kvinner W3
Sarpsborg 08 W0
Honefoss W2
Arna-Bjornar W1
Asane W0
Malvik W0
Rosenborg W15
Alta W0
Roa W10
Odds BK W0
Stabaek W4
Medkila W0
Tromso W7
Ham-Kam W1
Valerenga W8
Kil/Hemne W1
Aalesund W6
Tiller W1
Molde W3
1/8-finals
Grei W1
Lyn W4
Fana W0
Brann W3
Viking W3
Start W0
LSK Kvinner W2
Honefoss W3
Arna-Bjornar W4
Rosenborg W0
Roa W1
Stabaek W2
Tromso W1
Valerenga W3
Aalesund W5
Molde W1
Quarter-finals
Lyn W0
Brann W2
Viking W4
Honefoss W2
Arna-Bjornar W2
Stabaek W3
Valerenga W1
Aalesund W2
Semi-finals
Brann W3
Viking W0
Stabaek W3
Aalesund W4
Final
Brann W-
Aalesund W-