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Valeriodoce vs America TO

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with America TO advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Valeriodoce
28%
Draws
22%
America TO
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Valeriodoce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Valeriodoce haven't matched America TO's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Valeriodoce a 50% chance of winning this.
  • America TO arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor America TO, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Valeriodoce Clean Sheet 20%
America TO Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valeriodoce America TO
Matches Played 46 33
Wins 20 21
Draws 18 6
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2023 Mineiro 3
America TO vs Valeriodoce
0:3
Nov 11, 2023 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs America TO
1:3
Oct 8, 2023 Mineiro 3
America TO vs Valeriodoce
1:0
Sep 24, 2023 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs America TO
0:1
Oct 16, 2022 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs America TO
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valeriodoce 49 / 100
America TO 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valeriodoce America TO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valeriodoce went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Valeriodoce found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (46 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

America TO let in goals in 48% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Valeriodoce VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valeriodoce

(Home)
18 Jul
Villa Nova AC
1 : 1
Valeriodoce
12 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Villa Nova AC
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Democrata SL
28 Jun
Aymores
0 : 1
Valeriodoce
Page 1 of 10

America TO

(Away)
04 Nov
Guarani-MG
3 : 0
America TO
26 Oct
America TO
1 : 0
Guarani-MG
19 Oct
America TO
2 : 0
Social
12 Oct
Boston City
0 : 2
America TO
05 Oct
America TO
0 : 1
Contagem
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Valeriodoce1
Contagem0
Pocos de Caldas1
America TO5
Mamore3
Araxa2
Coimbra Esporte Clube1
Guarani-MG1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce4
America TO3
Mamore5
Guarani-MG4
Final
Valeriodoce2
Mamore3