Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valeriodoce vs Contagem

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Valeriodoce
35%
Draws
32%
Contagem
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Valeriodoce have managed 1 goals a game lately — Contagem are scoring more at 1.13.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Valeriodoce, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Valeriodoce have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Valeriodoce Clean Sheet 20%
Contagem Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valeriodoce Contagem
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 14 8
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2023 Mineiro 3
Contagem vs Valeriodoce
0:1
Oct 29, 2023 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs Contagem
0:0
Aug 7, 2022 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs Contagem
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valeriodoce 36 / 100
Contagem 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valeriodoce Contagem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Contagem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valeriodoce found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Valeriodoce went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Contagem conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.67 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Valeriodoce VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valeriodoce

(Home)
26 Jul
Valeriodoce
0 : 1
Villa Nova AC
18 Jul
Villa Nova AC
1 : 1
Valeriodoce
12 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Villa Nova AC
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Democrata SL
Page 1 of 7

Contagem

(Away)
03 Nov
Tupynambas
2 : 1
Contagem
26 Oct
Contagem
0 : 0
Tupynambas
19 Oct
Contagem
5 : 0
Boston City
12 Oct
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Contagem
05 Oct
America TO
0 : 1
Contagem
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Valeriodoce 1
Contagem 0
Pocos de Caldas 1
America TO 5
Mamore 3
Araxa 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube 1
Guarani-MG 1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce 4
America TO 3
Mamore 5
Guarani-MG 4
Final
Valeriodoce 2
Mamore 3