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Valeriodoce vs Contagem

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Valeriodoce
40%
Draws
29%
Contagem
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valeriodoce come out ahead of Contagem on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Valeriodoce have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Valeriodoce, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Valeriodoce have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Valeriodoce Clean Sheet 20%
Contagem Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valeriodoce Contagem
Matches Played 46 31
Wins 20 13
Draws 18 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2023 Mineiro 3
Contagem vs Valeriodoce
0:1
Oct 29, 2023 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs Contagem
0:0
Aug 7, 2022 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs Contagem
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valeriodoce 32 / 100
Contagem 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valeriodoce Contagem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Valeriodoce remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Valeriodoce scored in 78% of their last 46 games.

Defensive concern: Contagem conceded in 45% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.67 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Valeriodoce VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valeriodoce

(Home)
18 Jul
Villa Nova AC
1 : 1
Valeriodoce
12 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Villa Nova AC
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Democrata SL
28 Jun
Aymores
0 : 1
Valeriodoce
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Contagem

(Away)
03 Nov
Tupynambas
2 : 1
Contagem
26 Oct
Contagem
0 : 0
Tupynambas
19 Oct
Contagem
5 : 0
Boston City
12 Oct
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Contagem
05 Oct
America TO
0 : 1
Contagem
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Valeriodoce1
Contagem0
Pocos de Caldas1
America TO5
Mamore3
Araxa2
Coimbra Esporte Clube1
Guarani-MG1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce4
America TO3
Mamore5
Guarani-MG4
Final
Valeriodoce2
Mamore3