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Stadium Background

Valeriodoce vs Democrata SL

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Marcinho

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 game between Valeriodoce and Democrata SL finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valeriodoce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Valeriodoce
40%
Draws
29%
Democrata SL
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Democrata SL's 1.88 goals per match outpaces what Valeriodoce have produced (0.75).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Valeriodoce have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Valeriodoce Clean Sheet 68%
Democrata SL Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valeriodoce Democrata SL
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 13 9
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Mineiro 2
Valeriodoce vs Democrata SL
1:0
Jun 13, 2026 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Valeriodoce
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Valeriodoce
0:1
May 11, 2025 Mineiro 2
Valeriodoce vs Democrata SL
1:2
Jun 22, 2024 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Valeriodoce
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valeriodoce Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Democrata SL Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valeriodoce 42 / 100
Democrata SL 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valeriodoce Democrata SL

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valeriodoce has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Valeriodoce scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Democrata SL conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Valeriodoce VS Democrata SL
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uberaba1072117:923
2Boa1052312:917
3Mamore103348:912
4Patrocinense103349:912
5Guarani-MG1033412:1412
6Caldense101366:146
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Valeriodoce105509:420
2Democrata SL1052319:1017
3Aymores1044217:916
4Villa Nova AC1042417:1214
5Coimbra Esporte Clube1024412:1210
6Ipatinga101186:33-2