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Stadium Background

Valeriodoce vs EC Itauna

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008 game between Valeriodoce and EC Itauna finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valeriodoce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Valeriodoce
30%
Draws
23%
EC Itauna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valeriodoce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Valeriodoce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Valeriodoce taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Valeriodoce Clean Sheet 20%
EC Itauna Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valeriodoce EC Itauna
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 13 7
Draws 15 11
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.14 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2010 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Valeriodoce
3:1
Feb 28, 2010 Mineiro 2
Valeriodoce vs EC Itauna
2:2
Apr 1, 2009 Mineiro 2
Valeriodoce vs EC Itauna
3:1
Mar 8, 2009 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Valeriodoce
2:1
May 4, 2008 Mineiro 2
Valeriodoce vs EC Itauna
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valeriodoce 85 / 100
EC Itauna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valeriodoce EC Itauna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valeriodoce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valeriodoce scored in 80% of their last 35 games.

EC Itauna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Valeriodoce went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valeriodoce VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valeriodoce

(Home)
26 Jul
Valeriodoce
0 : 1
Villa Nova AC
18 Jul
Villa Nova AC
1 : 1
Valeriodoce
12 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Villa Nova AC
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Democrata SL
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EC Itauna

(Away)
20 Mar
EC Itauna
2 : 2
Tombense
16 Mar
Nacional MG
7 : 3
EC Itauna
13 Mar
Formiga EC
3 : 1
EC Itauna
11 Mar
EC Itauna
3 : 1
Tricordiano
05 Mar
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
EC Itauna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America Mineiro 20 12 5 3 33:14 41
2 Uberlandia 20 10 6 4 25:12 36
3 Caldense 20 11 2 7 29:20 35
4 EC Itauna 20 8 7 5 21:15 31
5 Araxa 20 6 9 5 21:21 27
6 Pocos de Caldas 20 4 11 5 22:24 23
7 URT 20 4 11 5 28:29 23
8 Ideal FC 20 6 4 10 21:29 22
9 Formiga EC 20 6 4 10 17:26 22
10 Valeriodoce 20 4 8 8 18:21 20
11 Uniao Luziense 20 4 3 13 21:45 15
Promotion - Campeonato Mineiro 2009 (Main)