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Valeriodoce vs Tupi-MG

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2024 game between Valeriodoce and Tupi-MG finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Valeriodoce
20%
Draws
22%
Tupi-MG
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valeriodoce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Valeriodoce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Valeriodoce are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Valeriodoce Clean Sheet 68%
Tupi-MG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valeriodoce Tupi-MG
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 15 8
Draws 14 9
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2024 Mineiro 2
Valeriodoce vs Tupi-MG
0:0
May 18, 2024 Mineiro 2
Tupi-MG vs Valeriodoce
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valeriodoce 95 / 100
Tupi-MG 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valeriodoce Tupi-MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valeriodoce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valeriodoce found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (35 games).

Defensive concern: Tupi-MG conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Valeriodoce went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tupi-MG lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valeriodoce VS Tupi-MG
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Valeriodoce

(Home)
26 Jul
Valeriodoce
0 : 1
Villa Nova AC
18 Jul
Villa Nova AC
1 : 1
Valeriodoce
12 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Villa Nova AC
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Democrata SL
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Tupi-MG

(Away)
22 Nov
Boa
3 : 1
Tupi-MG
15 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 2
Paracatu
08 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 0
Essube
02 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
3 : 1
Tupi-MG
25 Oct
Tupi-MG
0 : 3
Novo Esporte
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betim FC 10 3 5 2 8:7 14
2 Aymores 10 3 4 3 9:9 13
3 Valeriodoce 10 2 7 1 10:8 13
4 Nacional de Muriae 10 2 6 2 14:11 12
5 Democrata SL 10 2 6 2 9:6 12
6 Tupi-MG 10 2 4 4 5:14 10
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2024 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 URT 10 5 4 1 12:7 19
2 North Esporte Clube 10 6 0 4 9:6 18
3 Mamore 10 4 3 3 9:8 15
4 Caldense 10 2 5 3 6:7 11
5 Varginha 10 1 5 4 7:10 8
6 Boa 10 1 5 4 8:13 8
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2024 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2024 (Main)