Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova AC

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 Estadio Israel Pinheiro - VEC, Itabira
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Mineiro 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Villa Nova AC have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Valeriodoce have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Valeriodoce have won 1 to Villa Nova AC's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.38) back Valeriodoce to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Valeriodoce
30%
Draws
34%
Villa Nova AC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valeriodoce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Valeriodoce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Valeriodoce's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Valeriodoce have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Valeriodoce, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Valeriodoce Clean Sheet 17%
Villa Nova AC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valeriodoce Villa Nova AC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 12 5
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Valeriodoce
1:1
Jul 12, 2026 Mineiro 2
Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova AC
1:0
May 30, 2026 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Valeriodoce
2:2
Mar 23, 2005 Mineiro
Villa Nova AC vs Valeriodoce
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valeriodoce 36 / 100
Villa Nova AC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valeriodoce Villa Nova AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valeriodoce went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Valeriodoce scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Villa Nova AC conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Valeriodoce VS Villa Nova AC
1.13 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valeriodoce

(Home)
12 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Villa Nova AC
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Democrata SL
28 Jun
Aymores
0 : 1
Valeriodoce
23 Jun
Valeriodoce
1 : 1
Ipatinga
Page 1 of 6

Villa Nova AC

(Away)
12 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Villa Nova AC
04 Jul
Villa Nova AC
1 : 1
Aymores
01 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 1
Villa Nova AC
27 Jun
Villa Nova AC
6 : 0
Ipatinga
24 Jun
Democrata SL
1 : 0
Villa Nova AC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Uberaba-
Mamore-
Valeriodoce-
Villa Nova AC-
Boa-
Aymores-
Democrata SL-
Patrocinense-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-