Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Elva in this Estonian Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 0-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Valga Warrior haven't matched Elva's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Elva's way, sitting at 90%.
- Elva arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Valga Warrior, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Valga Warrior have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Valga Warrior Clean Sheet 10%
Elva Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valga Warrior | Elva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 24 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.73 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 9, 2022 Estonian Cup
Valga Warrior vs Elva
0:6
Aug 5, 2009 Estonian Cup
Valga Warrior vs Elva
8:3
Sep 23, 2007 Esiliiga
Elva vs Valga Warrior
0:3
Sep 2, 2007 Esiliiga
Valga Warrior vs Elva
7:0
Jul 24, 2007 Esiliiga
Elva vs Valga Warrior
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valga Warrior 10 / 100
Elva 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valga Warrior Elva
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Elva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 6.00 goals.
Elva let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Valga Warrior scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.
Valga Warrior went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Elva
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Valga Warrior
(Home) 26 Jul
Valga Warrior
1 : 6 JK Poseidon
09 Jul
Valga Warrior
0 : 6 Elva
24 Jul
Valga Warrior
1 : 4 Kristiine
10 Jul
Valga Warrior
: FCT Titans
29 Jul
Imavere Forss
5 : 1 Valga Warrior
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Valga Warrior
1 : 6 JK Poseidon
09 Jul
Valga Warrior
0 : 6 Elva
24 Jul
Valga Warrior
1 : 4 Kristiine
10 Jul
Valga Warrior
: FCT Titans
16 Jun
Valga Warrior
5 : 1 Viking
Page 1 of 3
Elva
(Away) 24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2 Tallinna Kalev
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1 FC Tallinn
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2 Elva
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0 Elva
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0 Kalju U21
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2 Elva
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0 Elva
03 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1 Elva
15 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 0 Elva
01 Aug
Levadia U21
2 : 2 Elva
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kuressaare 1
Viimsi JK 0
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Laaneranna -
Tartu Kalev -
Puhkus Mehhikos -
TBD -
Jager -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
Tallinna Wolves II 0
Flora U19 12
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Legion 14
TBD -
Kadakas -
Valga Warrior -
TBD -
TBD -
Elva -
Kalju U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Teleios -
Kohvile 0
Paide Linnameeskond III 5
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Legion U21 10
Vana Hea Puur 1
ReUnited 3
Loo JK 1
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Helm -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu 8
Kose 0
Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
Arukula Vigri -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
EstHam United -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Olympic Tallinn 5
Maardu Aliens 4
TBD -
Saae Latte -
Tabasalu 26
JK Poseidon II 0
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Tulevik -
TBD -
TBD -
Vandra Vaprus -
Mulgi -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Helios -
JK 32. keskkool -
Narva -
Tabasalu Ulasabat -
Aksi Wolves -
TBD -
FCI Tallinn 3
Eston Villa 1
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Soccernet -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FC Alliance -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
Maksatransport 3
1/32-finals
Kuressaare 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
Kristiine 2
Laaneranna 3
Tartu Kalev 11
Jager 0
Tallinn Piraaja -
Flora U19 -
Flora -
TBD -
Legion 13
Kadakas 0
Valga Warrior 0
Elva 6
Kalju U21 9
Teleios 0
Paide Linnameeskond III 4
Johvi Phoenix 5
Legion U21 2
ReUnited 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Helm 7
Saku Sporting 0
Rakvere 2
TransferWise 0
Tammeka Tartu 18
Parnu 9
Arukula Vigri 0
Harju JK Laagri 29
EstHam United 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 2
Raplamaa 1
Olympic Tallinn 3
Saae Latte 0
Tabasalu 3
Tartu JK Welco 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Kalju 23
TBD -
Levadia -
Zenit Tallinn 5
JK Poseidon 3
Tulevik 4
Vandra Vaprus 1
Mulgi -
FC Tallinn -
Flora Tallinn U21 13
Jarva-Jaani 0
Helios 0
Narva 9
Aksi Wolves 2
FCI Tallinn 3
Rumori Calcio 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Soccernet -
Jogeva Wolves -
Nomme Utd 3
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FC Alliance 1
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Tallinna Wolves 0
Maksatransport 10
1/16-finals
Kuressaare -
Laaneranna -
Tartu Kalev 2
Flora U19 0
Flora 6
Legion 0
Elva -
Kalju U21 -
Johvi Phoenix -
ReUnited -
Helm 1
Rakvere 4
Tammeka Tartu 8
Parnu 0
Harju JK Laagri 13
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tabasalu 5
Kalju 2
Levadia 0
Zenit Tallinn 1
Tulevik 6
FC Tallinn 4
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Narva 5
FCI Tallinn 0
Tallinna Kalev 15
Soccernet 0
Nomme Utd 0
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Maksatransport 2
1/8-finals
Kuressaare 5
Tartu Kalev 2
Flora 6
Elva 0
Johvi Phoenix 1
Rakvere 0
Tammeka Tartu 5
Harju JK Laagri 2
Tabasalu 1
Kalju 0
Tulevik 0
FC Tallinn 2
Narva 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Paide Linnameeskond 11
Tallinna Kalev U21 1
Quarter-finals
Kuressaare 1
Flora 2
Johvi Phoenix 1
Tammeka Tartu 6
Tabasalu 2
FC Tallinn 1
Narva 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Semi-finals
Flora 1
Tammeka Tartu 0
Tabasalu 0
Narva 1
Final
Flora 1
Narva 2
