Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2025

Valka

1 - 9

Aliance

Our Tip

Match Events

Veinbergs V.

Assist: Teters R.

19'

Maulins R.

Assist: Kuznecovs R.

22'

Maulins R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-9, with Aliance advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Valka

15%

Draws

85%

Aliance

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Valka haven't matched Aliance's recent run of results.
Model gives Aliance a 85% chance of winning this.
Aliance arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Aliance, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 87%

Over 3.5 Goals 75%

Over 4.5 Goals 34%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Valka Clean Sheet 10%

Aliance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Valka	Aliance
Matches Played	17	18
Wins	5	7
Draws	0	0
Losses	12	11
Goals Scored	1.41	3.06
Goals Conceded	4.53	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.81	4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Latvian Cup

Valka vs Aliance

1:5

May 17, 2025 Latvian Cup

Valka vs Aliance

1:9

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valka Compare

Top Goalscorer Germanis O. M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.39

Avg xA / game 0.91

Aliance Compare

Top Goalscorer Maulins R.

4 Goals

Assists Leader Teters R.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 3.64

Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valka 10 / 100

Aliance 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Valka Aliance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aliance Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliance's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 18 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Valka's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Away concern: Aliance has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valka VS Aliance

1 Goals Scored 3.75

5.25 Goals Conceded 2.63

100% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 88%

75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Valka

(Home)

30 May

Valka

1 : 5

Aliance

17 May

Valka

1 : 9

Aliance

17 May

Lielupe

5 : 1

Valka

28 May

Valka

0 : 7

Marupe

21 May

Valka

0 : 2

Gulbenes

Page 1 of 4

Aliance

(Away)

19 Jun

Marupe

4 : 2

Aliance

30 May

Valka

1 : 5

Aliance

31 May

Aliance

0 : 6

JFK Ventspils

17 May

Valka

1 : 9

Aliance

05 May

Talsi

1 : 5

Aliance

Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Speks -

TBD -

FK Alberts -

Riga United -

TBD -

SK Babite -

Iecava -

TBD -

Kekava-Auda -

TBD -

Marupe -

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Livani -

TBD -

JFC Viola -

TBD -

Skanste -

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Kuivizu Spartaks -

TBD -

Upesciema Warriors -

TBD -

Riga Mariners -

Valmiera 8

FK Limbazi 0

TBD -

FK Cesis -

TBD -

Ogre United -

Plavinas -

TBD -

Namejs -

Rigas Futbola Skola -

TBD -

Bauskas / Memele -

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Augsdaugavas -

RSU -

TBD -

LSPA -

Kuldigas/Goldingen -

TBD -

Salaspils FK -

Dienvidkurzemes -

TBD -

DSVK Traktors -

TBD -

Leevon PPK -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava -

TBD -

Lielupe -

TBD -

Rezekne -

Talsi 1

Aliance 5

TBD -

Valka -

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/64-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Speks 4

FK Alberts 3

Riga United 6

SK Babite 0

Iecava 1

Kekava-Auda 2

TBD -

Marupe -

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Livani 4

JFC Viola 0

TBD -

Skanste -

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Kuivizu Spartaks 0

Upesciema Warriors 5

TBD -

Riga Mariners -

Valmiera 6

FK Cesis 0

TBD -

Ogre United -

Plavinas 4

Namejs 0

Rigas Futbola Skola 8

Bauskas / Memele 0

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Augsdaugavas -

RSU 5

LSPA 1

Kuldigas/Goldingen 2

Salaspils FK 3

Dienvidkurzemes 3

DSVK Traktors 0

TBD -

Leevon PPK -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava 5

Lielupe 0

TBD -

Rezekne -

Aliance 9

Valka 1

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/32-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Speks 0

Riga United 3

Kekava-Auda 0

Marupe 3

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Livani 0

Skanste 5

Alberts JDFS 5

FK Smiltene 3

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Upesciema Warriors 0

Riga Mariners 3

Valmiera 4

Ogre United 3

Plavinas 3

Rigas Futbola Skola 2

AFA Olaine 3

Augsdaugavas 1

RSU 0

Salaspils FK 6

Dienvidkurzemes 1

Leevon PPK 2

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava 4

Rezekne 0

Aliance 0

JFK Ventspils 6

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/16-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Riga United 0

Marupe 3

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Skanste 1

Alberts JDFS 2

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Riga Mariners 4

Valmiera 3

Plavinas 3

AFA Olaine 5

Salaspils FK 4

Leevon PPK 5

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava 1

JFK Ventspils 3

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/8-finals

Jelgava 0

RFS 1

Marupe 1

FK Metta 4

FK Auda Riga 1

Grobina 0

Alberts JDFS 1

Super Nova 3

Riga FC 4

Tukums 2000 0

Riga Mariners 6

AFA Olaine 1

Leevon PPK 2

BFC Daugavpils 4

JFK Ventspils 0

FK Liepaja 2

Quarter-finals

RFS 3

FK Metta 2

FK Auda Riga 3

Super Nova 1

Riga FC 10

Riga Mariners 0

BFC Daugavpils 1

FK Liepaja 2

Semi-finals

RFS 0

FK Auda Riga 2

Riga FC 4

FK Liepaja 0

Final

FK Auda Riga 2

Riga FC 1

Valka vs Aliance

Latvia

Valka

Aliance

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Valka Compare

Aliance Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Valka

Aliance

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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