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Valka vs FK Daugava Riga Prediction & H2H Stats

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2009/2010
Valka Logo

Valka

0 - 13
FT
FK Daugava Riga Logo

FK Daugava Riga

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-13, with FK Daugava Riga advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Valka
15%
Draws
85%
FK Daugava Riga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Daugava Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Valka haven't matched FK Daugava Riga's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FK Daugava Riga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • FK Daugava Riga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Daugava Riga, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Valka Clean Sheet 10%
FK Daugava Riga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valka FK Daugava Riga
Matches Played 17 25
Wins 5 10
Draws 0 3
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.88
Goals Conceded 4.53 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2010 Latvian Cup
Valka vs FK Daugava Riga
0:13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valka 10 / 100
FK Daugava Riga 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valka FK Daugava Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Daugava Riga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 13.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: FK Daugava Riga has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Valka found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (17 games).

Defensive concern: FK Daugava Riga conceded in 75% of 24 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Valka VS FK Daugava Riga
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
5.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valka

(Home)
30 May
Valka
1 : 5
Aliance
17 May
Valka
1 : 9
Aliance
17 May
Lielupe
5 : 1
Valka
28 May
Valka
0 : 7
Marupe
21 May
Valka
0 : 2
Gulbenes
Page 1 of 4

FK Daugava Riga

(Away)
04 Apr
Jelgava
:
FK Daugava Riga
08 Nov
Skonto
4 : 1
FK Daugava Riga
01 Nov
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
26 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
1 : 0
FK Daugava Riga
20 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
2 : 4
FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
Viesulis 1
Ozolnieki 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranzits -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
Gulbene 2
Adazi 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bauskas BJSS 4
Elvi 1
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
Kauguri-PBLC -
TBD -
FK Olaine 0
Jelgava BJSS 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skonto -
Olimps Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flaminko 10
JFC Dobele 0
Brali 3
FK 1625 Liepaja 4
FK Metta -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
FK Madona Kvarcs 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Blazma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe 1
Priekuli 0
Bebri 4
Upesciems 5
Valka 5
FK Alberts 1
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
1/16-finals
Jelgava 6
Ozolnieki 0
TBD -
Tranzits -
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
Adazi 1
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Ventspils -
TBD -
Bauskas BJSS 0
FC Jurmala 2
Kauguri-PBLC 8
Jelgava BJSS 1
TBD -
Skonto -
Olimps Riga -
TBD -
Flaminko 0
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Metta 4
FK Madona Kvarcs 0
TBD -
RFS -
Blazma -
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe 2
Upesciems 3
Valka 1
FK Auda Riga 0
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 2
Tranzits 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 1
FK Liepaja 4
Ventspils 4
FC Jurmala 0
Kauguri-PBLC 0
Skonto 3
Olimps Riga 2
FK 1625 Liepaja 0
FK Metta 1
RFS 3
Blazma 5
Upesciems 0
Valka 0
FK Daugava Riga 13
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 4
FK Liepaja 3
Ventspils 0
Skonto 1
Olimps Riga 4
RFS 0
Blazma 0
FK Daugava Riga 4
Semi-finals
Jelgava 2
Skonto 1
Olimps Riga 1
FK Daugava Riga 3
Final
Jelgava 3
FK Daugava Riga 2