Sport Picks
Vall de Uxo vs Castellonense
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 
Match Events
51'
51'
Garijo I.
(Penalty)
90'
90'
Megina D.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 game between Vall de Uxo and Castellonense finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castellonense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Castellonense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Vall de Uxo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Vall de Uxo Clean Sheet 68%
Castellonense Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vall de Uxo | Castellonense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Vall de Uxo vs Castellonense
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs Vall de Uxo
1:0
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs Vall de Uxo
2:0
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Vall de Uxo vs Castellonense
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vall de Uxo Compare
Top Goalscorer Megina D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Castellonense Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vall de Uxo 68 / 100
Castellonense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vall de Uxo Castellonense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vall de Uxo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vall de Uxo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Vall de Uxo scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Castellonense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.25 goals.
Scoring Trends
Vall de Uxo VS Castellonense
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vall de Uxo
(Home) 27 Sept
Torrellano
0 : 3 Vall de Uxo
20 Sept
Vall de Uxo
2 : 1 Espanol de San Vicente
13 Sept
SC Torrevieja
0 : 2 Vall de Uxo
06 Sept
Vall de Uxo
0 : 0 Utiel
21 Aug
Utiel
1 : 1 Vall de Uxo
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Vall de Uxo
2 : 1 Espanol de San Vicente
06 Sept
Vall de Uxo
0 : 0 Utiel
02 May
Vall de Uxo
0 : 4 Atletico Saguntino
26 Apr
Vall de Uxo
1 : 0 Alzira
12 Apr
Vall de Uxo
1 : 0 Roda
Page 1 of 3
Castellonense
(Away) 27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Castellonense
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0 Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2 Castellonense
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1 UCAM Murcia
19 Aug
Torrent
0 : 1 Castellonense
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Castellonense
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2 Castellonense
19 Aug
Torrent
0 : 1 Castellonense
02 May
Hercules B
1 : 4 Castellonense
12 Apr
Villarreal C
3 : 0 Castellonense
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellonense | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 56:30 | 67 |
| 2 | Atletico Saguntino | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:30 | 66 |
| 3 | Levante B | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 54:26 | 65 |
| 4 | Villarreal C | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 63:36 | 63 |
| 5 | La Nucia | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 44:26 | 61 |
| 6 | CD Bunol | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 34:40 | 50 |
| 7 | Vall de Uxo | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 31:29 | 49 |
| 8 | Ontinyent 1931 CF | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 32:30 | 48 |
| 9 | Torrellano | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 40:38 | 47 |
| 10 | Soneja | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 35:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Hercules B | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | 41 |
| 12 | Roda | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 32:45 | 40 |
| 13 | Crevillente | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 44:49 | 38 |
| 14 | Espanol de San Vicente | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Atzeneta | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 29:39 | 37 |
| 16 | Utiel | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 30:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Alzira | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 32:49 | 31 |
| 18 | Recambios Colon | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 27:55 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
