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Valladares vs Lugo B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Maceira J.
(Penalty)
44'
Gonzalez H.
44'
Gonzalez H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Valladares
35%
Draws
37%
Lugo B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lugo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Valladares haven't matched Lugo B's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lugo B's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Valladares Clean Sheet 21%
Lugo B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valladares Lugo B
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 12
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Valladares vs Lugo B
3:3
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Valladares
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valladares Compare

Top Goalscorer Vilar M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Lugo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Padin H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pared G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valladares 16 / 100
Lugo B 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valladares Lugo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugo B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Valladares scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Lugo B has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Valladares stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lugo B
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valladares

(Home)
11 May
Valladares
3 : 1
Silva SD
03 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Valladares
27 Apr
Valladares
0 : 0
Gran Pena
20 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Valladares
17 Apr
Valladares
2 : 2
Sarriana
Page 1 of 6

Lugo B

(Away)
10 May
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 1
Lugo B
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Viveiro
0 : 0
Lugo B
11 Apr
Lugo B
0 : 0
Gran Pena
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ourense 34 21 11 2 54:20 74
2 Estradense 34 18 6 10 52:37 60
3 Sarriana 34 18 5 11 66:48 59
4 Racing Club Villalbes 34 16 10 8 40:28 58
5 Noia 34 14 13 7 42:31 55
6 Arosa SC 34 15 10 9 58:46 55
7 Alondras 34 14 10 10 44:40 52
8 Lugo B 34 12 9 13 43:45 45
9 CD Boiro 34 11 11 12 40:39 44
10 Somozas 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
11 Gran Pena 34 9 13 12 44:51 40
12 Viveiro 34 11 6 17 47:52 39
13 Silva SD 34 9 12 13 40:48 39
14 Atletico Arteixo 34 9 11 14 40:42 38
15 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 7 17 29:45 37
16 Valladares 34 8 13 13 33:52 37
17 Villalonga 34 10 6 18 32:51 36
18 Betanzos CF 34 6 7 21 29:51 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)