Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valladares vs Noia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Freiria M.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Freiria M.
71' Event
Castineiras Figueira X.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 game between Valladares and Noia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valladares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Valladares
30%
Draws
35%
Noia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Valladares carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Valladares's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Valladares Clean Sheet 68%
Noia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valladares Noia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 5
Draws 11 6
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Valladares vs Noia
2:1
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Noia vs Valladares
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valladares Compare

Top Goalscorer Freiria M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Noia Compare

Top Goalscorer Castineiras Figueira X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valladares 68 / 100
Noia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valladares Noia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valladares Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Valladares scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Valladares stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Noia
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valladares

(Home)
11 May
Valladares
3 : 1
Silva SD
03 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Valladares
27 Apr
Valladares
0 : 0
Gran Pena
20 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Valladares
17 Apr
Valladares
2 : 2
Sarriana
Page 1 of 6

Noia

(Away)
10 May
Noia
1 : 5
Gran Pena
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
19 Apr
Cambados
0 : 3
Noia
12 Apr
Noia
0 : 2
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ourense 34 21 11 2 54:20 74
2 Estradense 34 18 6 10 52:37 60
3 Sarriana 34 18 5 11 66:48 59
4 Racing Club Villalbes 34 16 10 8 40:28 58
5 Noia 34 14 13 7 42:31 55
6 Arosa SC 34 15 10 9 58:46 55
7 Alondras 34 14 10 10 44:40 52
8 Lugo B 34 12 9 13 43:45 45
9 CD Boiro 34 11 11 12 40:39 44
10 Somozas 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
11 Gran Pena 34 9 13 12 44:51 40
12 Viveiro 34 11 6 17 47:52 39
13 Silva SD 34 9 12 13 40:48 39
14 Atletico Arteixo 34 9 11 14 40:42 38
15 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 7 17 29:45 37
16 Valladares 34 8 13 13 33:52 37
17 Villalonga 34 10 6 18 32:51 36
18 Betanzos CF 34 6 7 21 29:51 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)