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Valladares vs Sarriana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 
Match Events
17'
17'
Sane A.
74'
74'
Perez P.
79'
79'
Freiria M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 game between Valladares and Sarriana finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarriana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Valladares haven't matched Sarriana's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Valladares Clean Sheet 20%
Sarriana Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valladares | Sarriana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Valladares vs Sarriana
2:2
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sarriana vs Valladares
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valladares Compare
Top Goalscorer Perez P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Freiria M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Sarriana Compare
Top Goalscorer Sane A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Millan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valladares 32 / 100
Sarriana 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valladares Sarriana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Valladares scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Sarriana has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.
Recent resilience: Valladares stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Sarriana
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Valladares
(Home) 11 May
Valladares
3 : 1 Silva SD
03 May
Estradense
2 : 0 Valladares
27 Apr
Valladares
0 : 0 Gran Pena
20 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1 Valladares
17 Apr
Valladares
2 : 2 Sarriana
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Valladares
3 : 1 Silva SD
27 Apr
Valladares
0 : 0 Gran Pena
17 Apr
Valladares
2 : 2 Sarriana
13 Apr
Valladares
0 : 0 CD Boiro
30 Mar
Valladares
1 : 1 Barbadas-Bentraces
Page 1 of 3
Sarriana
(Away) 04 Oct
Somozas
2 : 1 Sarriana
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2 Gran Pena
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0 Sarriana
13 Sept
Sarriana
2 : 0 Viveiro
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3 Sarriana
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Somozas
2 : 1 Sarriana
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0 Sarriana
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3 Sarriana
26 Apr
Atletico Astorga
1 : 0 Sarriana
12 Apr
Bergantinos
0 : 1 Sarriana
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Ourense | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 54:20 | 74 |
| 2 | Estradense | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:37 | 60 |
| 3 | Sarriana | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 66:48 | 59 |
| 4 | Racing Club Villalbes | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 40:28 | 58 |
| 5 | Noia | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42:31 | 55 |
| 6 | Arosa SC | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 58:46 | 55 |
| 7 | Alondras | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 44:40 | 52 |
| 8 | Lugo B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:45 | 45 |
| 9 | CD Boiro | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 40:39 | 44 |
| 10 | Somozas | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36:43 | 40 |
| 11 | Gran Pena | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 44:51 | 40 |
| 12 | Viveiro | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 47:52 | 39 |
| 13 | Silva SD | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 40:48 | 39 |
| 14 | Atletico Arteixo | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:42 | 38 |
| 15 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 29:45 | 37 |
| 16 | Valladares | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 33:52 | 37 |
| 17 | Villalonga | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32:51 | 36 |
| 18 | Betanzos CF | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 29:51 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
