Sport Picks
Valladolid Promesas vs Navalcarnero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 5 
Match Events
27'
27'
Fernandez T.
86'
86'
Murcia J. C.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 game between Valladolid Promesas and Navalcarnero finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valladolid Promesas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Navalcarnero
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Navalcarnero haven't matched Valladolid Promesas's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Valladolid Promesas Clean Sheet 16%
Navalcarnero Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valladolid Promesas | Navalcarnero |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Valladolid Promesas vs Navalcarnero
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Valladolid Promesas vs Navalcarnero
1:2
Mar 16, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Valladolid Promesas vs Navalcarnero
2:1
Oct 28, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Navalcarnero vs Valladolid Promesas
3:2
Mar 25, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Valladolid Promesas vs Navalcarnero
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valladolid Promesas Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Navalcarnero Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valladolid Promesas 30 / 100
Navalcarnero 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valladolid Promesas Navalcarnero
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valladolid Promesas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Valladolid Promesas scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Navalcarnero has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Valladolid Promesas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Valladolid Promesas VS Navalcarnero
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Valladolid Promesas
(Home) 04 Oct
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 0 Puertollano C.F.
27 Sept
CF Talavera
2 : 1 Valladolid Promesas
20 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
6 : 1 Albacete B
12 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 0 Valladolid Promesas
06 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
1 : 0 Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 0 Puertollano C.F.
20 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
6 : 1 Albacete B
06 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
1 : 0 Navalcarnero
19 Aug
Valladolid Promesas
0 : 1 La Cisterniga
12 Aug
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 3 Leganes B
Page 1 of 4
Navalcarnero
(Away) 04 Oct
RSD Alcala
1 : 3 Navalcarnero
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1 Murcia
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3 Conquense
23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4 Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 2 Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
RSD Alcala
1 : 3 Navalcarnero
23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4 Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 2 Navalcarnero
09 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 2 Navalcarnero
06 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
1 : 0 Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Numancia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5:0 | 11 |
| 3 | San Sebastian Reyes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Conquense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 5 | Valladolid Promesas | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Salamanca CF UDS | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 7 | CF Talavera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 8 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 7 |
| 9 | Navalcarnero | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 10 | RSD Alcala | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Avila | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Guadalajara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 13 | Atletico Paso | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 14 | Albacete B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:15 | 5 |
| 15 | Atletico Tordesillas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 16 | Puertollano C.F. | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 4 |
| 17 | Getafe B | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 18 | Real Madrid C | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)
