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Valladolid Promesas vs Rayo Majadahonda

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Amaro A.
74' Event
Latasa J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Valladolid Promesas and Rayo Majadahonda finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Valladolid Promesas
39%
Draws
31%
Rayo Majadahonda
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Rayo Majadahonda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Valladolid Promesas Clean Sheet 68%
Rayo Majadahonda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valladolid Promesas Rayo Majadahonda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Valladolid Promesas vs Rayo Majadahonda
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Valladolid Promesas vs Rayo Majadahonda
2:2
Aug 13, 2022 Club Friendly
Valladolid Promesas vs Rayo Majadahonda
4:2
Jan 26, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Rayo Majadahonda vs Valladolid Promesas
3:1
Oct 23, 2021 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Valladolid Promesas vs Rayo Majadahonda
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valladolid Promesas Compare

Top Goalscorer Latasa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Rayo Majadahonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valladolid Promesas 41 / 100
Rayo Majadahonda 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valladolid Promesas Rayo Majadahonda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Valladolid Promesas scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Valladolid Promesas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Rayo Majadahonda let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Valladolid Promesas VS Rayo Majadahonda
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valladolid Promesas

(Home)
03 May
Valladolid Promesas
2 : 0
Burgos CF B
26 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
0 : 1
Valladolid Promesas
19 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 0
Langreo
12 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 3
Valladolid Promesas
05 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 4
Bergantinos
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Rayo Majadahonda

(Away)
03 May
Rayo Majadahonda
3 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
26 Apr
CF Fuenlabrada
0 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
19 Apr
Ilicitano
0 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
12 Apr
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0
Quintanar del Rey
05 Apr
Navalcarnero
2 : 3
Rayo Majadahonda
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