Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valladolid vs Zaragoza

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio José Zorrilla, Valladolid
Valladolid Logo

Valladolid

2 - 0
FT
Zaragoza Logo

Zaragoza

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Latasa J.
Assist: Lachuer M.
15'
Insua P.
24'
Biuk S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Valladolid in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valladolid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Valladolid
15%
Draws
32%
Zaragoza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valladolid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Valladolid have won more games recently than Zaragoza.
  • Valladolid are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular LaLiga2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Valladolid Clean Sheet 68%
Zaragoza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valladolid Zaragoza
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.21 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 LaLiga2
Valladolid vs Zaragoza
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 LaLiga2
Zaragoza vs Valladolid
1:1
Mar 9, 2024 LaLiga2
Valladolid vs Zaragoza
2:0
Aug 18, 2023 LaLiga2
Zaragoza vs Valladolid
1:0
Jan 22, 2022 LaLiga2
Zaragoza vs Valladolid
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valladolid Compare

Top Goalscorer Latasa J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carvajal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Zaragoza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valladolid 95 / 100
Zaragoza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valladolid Zaragoza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valladolid Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zaragoza conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Valladolid went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Zaragoza registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Valladolid found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Valladolid VS Zaragoza
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valladolid

(Home)
08 Aug
Gijon
2 : 4
Valladolid
05 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
0 : 3
Valladolid
01 Aug
Groningen
1 : 0
Valladolid
29 Jul
Valladolid
4 : 1
CD Coria
25 Jul
Valladolid
0 : 0
Getafe
Page 1 of 6

Zaragoza

(Away)
08 Aug
Zaragoza
2 : 1
Real Sociedad B
06 Aug
Zaragoza
0 : 1
FC Andorra
01 Aug
Zaragoza
1 : 2
UD Barbastro
29 Jul
Zaragoza
2 : 0
Utebo FC
31 May
Zaragoza
0 : 2
Malaga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
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