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Valle Egues vs CD Aluvion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 15 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2010/2011 game between Valle Egues and CD Aluvion finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valle Egues.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Valle Egues
30%
Draws
12%
CD Aluvion
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valle Egues

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valle Egues come out ahead of CD Aluvion on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Valle Egues's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Valle Egues Clean Sheet 20%
CD Aluvion Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valle Egues CD Aluvion
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.5 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs Valle Egues
2:3
Oct 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs CD Aluvion
0:0
Mar 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs CD Aluvion
1:0
Oct 30, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs Valle Egues
0:0
Apr 1, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs CD Aluvion
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valle Egues 85 / 100
CD Aluvion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valle Egues CD Aluvion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valle Egues Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Valle Egues scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

CD Aluvion has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Valle Egues remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valle Egues VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valle Egues

(Home)
03 Oct
Valle Egues
0 : 1
Aoiz
27 Sept
CD Cantolagua
0 : 3
Valle Egues
19 Sept
Valle Egues
1 : 1
Mutilvera
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Valle Egues
2 : 2
CD Beti Onak
Page 1 of 6

CD Aluvion

(Away)
12 May
Mutilvera
2 : 0
CD Aluvion
06 May
CD Aluvion
1 : 3
Cirbonero
27 Apr
Aoiz
3 : 1
CD Aluvion
22 Apr
CD Aluvion
0 : 6
Tudelano
14 Apr
Cortes
1 : 1
CD Aluvion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tudelano 38 28 6 4 87:24 90
2 Izarra 38 25 8 5 78:24 83
3 Valle Egues 38 19 9 10 57:46 66
4 Mutilvera 38 19 9 10 60:34 66
5 Txantrea 38 18 11 9 58:35 65
6 Iruna 38 16 13 9 52:36 61
7 AD San Juan 38 12 20 6 38:30 56
8 Cirbonero 38 15 8 15 51:46 53
9 CD Lourdes 38 15 8 15 52:56 53
10 Oberena 38 14 10 14 42:39 52
11 Pamplona 38 12 13 13 51:51 49
12 Murchante 38 11 12 15 48:57 45
13 Huarte 38 10 14 14 45:50 44
14 Aoiz 38 10 12 16 37:49 42
15 CD Aluvion 38 9 14 15 34:44 41
16 Idoya 38 10 11 17 51:78 41
17 CD Ardoi 38 9 11 18 29:57 38
18 Lagun Artea 38 10 7 21 40:79 37
19 CD River Ega 38 7 6 25 26:73 27
20 Pena Azagresa 38 5 10 23 34:62 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)