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Stadium Background

Valle Egues vs CD Gares

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Oroz E.
45' Event
Zabalza A.
55' Event
Goicoechea X.

AI Match Summary

Valle Egues in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valle Egues.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Valle Egues
20%
Draws
15%
CD Gares
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valle Egues

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Valle Egues have won more games recently than CD Gares.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Valle Egues taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Valle Egues have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Valle Egues Clean Sheet 68%
CD Gares Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valle Egues CD Gares
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.56 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs CD Gares
2:1
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs Valle Egues
0:3
Feb 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs CD Gares
4:0
Oct 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs Valle Egues
3:3
Feb 3, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs Valle Egues
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valle Egues Compare

Top Goalscorer Oroz E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goicoechea X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

CD Gares Compare

Top Goalscorer Zabalza A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valle Egues 95 / 100
CD Gares 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valle Egues CD Gares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valle Egues Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Gares has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Valle Egues scored in 78% of their last 36 outings.

Solid form: Valle Egues remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valle Egues VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valle Egues

(Home)
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
03 May
Valle Egues
2 : 1
CA Artajones
26 Apr
Subiza
4 : 1
Valle Egues
18 Apr
Valle Egues
3 : 1
AD San Juan
11 Apr
CD Beti Onak
2 : 4
Valle Egues
Page 1 of 8

CD Gares

(Away)
10 May
CA Artajones
1 : 1
CD Gares
03 May
CD Gares
0 : 2
Pena
27 Apr
Rotxapea
3 : 0
CD Gares
23 Apr
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
CD Gares
16 Apr
CD Gares
0 : 0
Mutilvera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)