Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vallensbaek vs Nakskov

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Skovgaard N.
25' Event
Christensen F.
33' Event
Fugl N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-7, with Nakskov advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vallensbaek
15%
Draws
42%
Nakskov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vallensbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Nakskov's 1.26 goals per match outpaces what Vallensbaek have produced (0.86).
  • Win probability leans Vallensbaek's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Nakskov, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vallensbaek Clean Sheet 10%
Nakskov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vallensbaek Nakskov
Matches Played 7 19
Wins 2 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 0.86 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.86 4.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2025 Betano Pokalen
Vallensbaek vs Nakskov
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vallensbaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Otto P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Nakskov Compare

Top Goalscorer Skovgaard N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Fugl N.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vallensbaek 40 / 100
Nakskov 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vallensbaek Nakskov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nakskov let in goals in 100% of their last 19 matches.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Vallensbaek's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Nakskov's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vallensbaek VS Nakskov
0.86 Goals Scored 1
2.86 Goals Conceded 4.63
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 100%
43% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Vallensbaek

(Home)
04 Aug
Vallensbaek
1 : 4
Helsingor
07 Aug
Vallensbaek
1 : 7
Nakskov
09 Aug
Vallensbaek
0 : 6
Ishoj IF
28 Aug
Vallensbaek
0 : 1
Svebolle
14 Aug
Vallensbaek
2 : 0
Sollerod-Ved.
Page 1 of 2

Nakskov

(Away)
01 Aug
Bornholm
4 : 1
Nakskov
02 Sept
Nakskov
0 : 4
Hellerup
07 Aug
Vallensbaek
1 : 7
Nakskov
08 Aug
Solrod FC
4 : 1
Nakskov
08 Aug
Nakskov
1 : 8
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Ringsted 7
Nykobing 6
LUIF 0
Skjold 7
Snejbjerg SG&I 0
Vejgaard 6
Marienlyst 1
Esbjerg 2
Vallensbaek 1
Nakskov 7
Fredensborg 1
Hellerup 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Randers FC -
Grenaa IF 0
Young Boys FD 3
Skibsby-Hojene IF 0
Aarhus Fremad 3
Boldklubben 1909 1
FC Sonderborg 0
Skovsgaard 2
Hobro 4
Ledoje-Smorum 1
BK Frem 0
Helsingor 0
Lyngby 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Mejrup GU 2
TRIF 1
Skodstrup SF 0
Thisted FC 2
ESPM 1
Tune 2
TBD -
Fredericia -
BV Oksbol 4
Billund 1
Bramming 3
SfB-Oure 2
Naesby 1
Horsens 2
TBD -
Viborg -
Holstebro 2
Odder 4
ASA Aarhus 1
Lyseng 2
Gorslev IF 2
Naestved IF 1
Kastrup 0
Roskilde 2
Husum BK 1
Holbaek 6
Ishoj IF 2
Fremad Amager 1
Skanderborg 4
Kjellerup 0
TBD -
Vejle -
Bornholm 0
Gentofte-Vangede 2
Allerod 2
Bronshoj 4
FC Bih Odense 2
FC Horsens 7
Norager 1
VSK Aarhus 6
Frem Sakskobing 1
Sundby 6
OKF 0
Vanlose 5
FC Kalundborg 1
Stenlose 0
TBD -
Odense -
Brondby Strand 2
Nerashte Ballerup 1
BK Viktoria 0
Hillerod 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
Tarnby FF 0
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Hvidovre IF 4
Koge 3
Raklev 2
Avarta 0
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Marstal/Rise 3
Tved 2
Vendsyssel FF 1
Aalborg 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Farso Ullits 4
Norresundby 3
Chang Odense 0
Kolding BK 3
OKS Odense 2
Middelfart 3
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Brabrand 0
Skive 3
Odense KFUM 0
Kolding IF 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Rudersdal 1
AB Copenhagen 3
Alholm IF 0
Boldklubben 1893 10
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
1/32-finals
Ringsted 3
Skjold 1
Vejgaard 1
Esbjerg 2
Nakskov 0
Hellerup 4
TBD -
Randers FC -
Young Boys FD 1
Aarhus Fremad 6
Boldklubben 1909 0
Hobro 3
Ledoje-Smorum 1
Lyngby 2
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Mejrup GU 0
Thisted FC 4
Tune 2
Fredericia 4
BV Oksbol 4
Bramming 0
Horsens 0
Viborg 1
Odder 1
Lyseng 2
Gorslev IF 0
Roskilde 5
Holbaek 3
Ishoj IF 0
Skanderborg 0
Vejle 6
Gentofte-Vangede 3
Bronshoj 4
FC Horsens 0
VSK Aarhus 5
Sundby 3
Vanlose 2
FC Kalundborg 0
Odense 11
Brondby Strand 2
Hillerod 3
TBD -
Aarhus -
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Hvidovre IF 2
Raklev 0
Sonderjyske 10
Marstal/Rise 1
Aalborg 6
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Farso Ullits 1
Kolding BK 2
Middelfart 1
Silkeborg 2
Skive 0
Kolding IF 2
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
AB Copenhagen 1
Boldklubben 1893 2
TBD -
Brondby -
1/16-finals
Ringsted 0
Esbjerg 1
Hellerup 1
Randers FC 2
Aarhus Fremad 1
Hobro 2
Lyngby 0
FC Copenhagen 2
Thisted FC 1
Fredericia 2
BV Oksbol 0
Viborg 6
Lyseng 4
Roskilde 3
Holbaek 2
Vejle 3
Bronshoj 3
VSK Aarhus 1
Sundby 0
Odense 3
Hillerod 1
Aarhus 2
Hvidovre IF 1
Sonderjyske 2
Aalborg 0
Midtjylland 3
Kolding BK 0
Silkeborg 5
Kolding IF 0
Nordsjaelland 2
Boldklubben 1893 1
Brondby 4
1/8-finals
Esbjerg 1
Randers FC 0
Hobro 1
FC Copenhagen 4
Fredericia 2
Viborg 3
Lyseng 0
Vejle 4
Bronshoj 0
Odense 3
Aarhus 2
Sonderjyske 1
Midtjylland 4
Silkeborg 0
Nordsjaelland 4
Brondby 2
Quarter-finals
Esbjerg 2
FC Copenhagen 6
Viborg 4
Vejle 2
Odense 2
Aarhus 3
Midtjylland 6
Nordsjaelland 3
Semi-finals
FC Copenhagen 4
Viborg 2
Aarhus 1
Midtjylland 2
Final
FC Copenhagen 0
Midtjylland 1