Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valmiera 2 vs Rezekne

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2024 Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs, Valmiera
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Okpanachi J.
36'
Andrade Villegas K. A.
38' Event
Lucas Aruba
Assist: Pulis I.

AI Match Summary

Valmiera 2 in this 1. Liga 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valmiera 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Valmiera 2
30%
Draws
12%
Rezekne
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valmiera 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Valmiera 2 have won more games recently than Rezekne.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Valmiera 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Valmiera 2 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Valmiera 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera 2 Rezekne
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.53 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2024 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Rezekne
2:0
Apr 26, 2024 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Valmiera 2
1:0
Aug 27, 2023 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Rezekne
3:1
Apr 29, 2023 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Valmiera 2
0:1
Nov 5, 2022 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Rezekne
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmiera 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Aruba
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cesnieks K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Rezekne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 2 85 / 100
Rezekne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera 2 Rezekne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rezekne let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Valmiera 2's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Valmiera 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rezekne
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmiera 2

(Home)
10 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 0
Leevon PPK
02 Nov
Valmiera 2
2 : 0
Alberts JDFS
27 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 3
Skanste
18 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 2
Riga FC 2
05 Oct
Super Nova
4 : 1
Valmiera 2
Page 1 of 6

Rezekne

(Away)
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1
Rezekne
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Super Nova 26 21 2 3 65:11 65
2 RFS 2 26 20 3 3 71:18 63
3 Alberts JDFS 26 19 1 6 53:21 58
4 Riga FC 2 26 13 9 4 59:26 48
5 Skanste 26 12 5 9 39:28 41
6 Valmiera 2 26 10 4 12 41:39 34
7 Marupe 26 9 6 11 25:44 33
8 Leevon PPK 26 9 4 13 36:38 31
9 AFA Olaine 26 8 6 12 45:50 30
10 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 32:37 30
11 Ogre United 26 7 8 11 37:44 29
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 5 4 17 25:68 19
13 FK Smiltene 26 4 5 17 24:62 17
14 Rezekne 26 3 5 18 18:84 14
Promotion - Virsliga 2025 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2024 (Relegation)