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Valmiera 2 vs Riga FC 2

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1. Liga 2024 Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Galajevs I.
30'
Volkovs K.
33'
Kizili J.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2024 game between Valmiera 2 and Riga FC 2 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Valmiera 2
20%
Draws
38%
Riga FC 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valmiera 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Valmiera 2 haven't matched Riga FC 2's recent run of results.
  • Valmiera 2 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Valmiera 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Riga FC 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera 2 Riga FC 2
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0 2.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Valmiera 2 vs Riga FC 2
2:2
Jun 30, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs Valmiera 2
2:1
Sep 3, 2023 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs Valmiera 2
3:1
May 5, 2023 Nakotnes liga
Valmiera 2 vs Riga FC 2
1:3
Oct 14, 2022 Nakotnes liga
Valmiera 2 vs Riga FC 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmiera 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Omori Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Aruba
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Riga FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orosco B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 2 40 / 100
Riga FC 2 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera 2 Riga FC 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Valmiera 2 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Riga FC 2 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Valmiera 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Riga FC 2
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Super Nova26212365:1165
2RFS 226203371:1863
3Alberts JDFS26191653:2158
4Riga FC 226139459:2648
5Skanste26125939:2841
6Valmiera 2261041241:3934
7Marupe26961125:4433
8Leevon PPK26941336:3831
9AFA Olaine26861245:5030
10JFK Ventspils26861232:3730
11Ogre United26781137:4429
12Tukums 2000 226541725:6819
13FK Smiltene26451724:6217
14Rezekne26351818:8414