Sport Picks
Valmiera 2 vs Riga FC 2
Latvia
1. Liga 2024 Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs, Valmiera 
Match Events
14'
14'
Galajevs I.
30'
30'
Volkovs K.
33'
33'
Kizili J.
AI Match Summary
The 1. Liga 2024 game between Valmiera 2 and Riga FC 2 finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Valmiera 2 haven't matched Riga FC 2's recent run of results.
- Valmiera 2 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Valmiera 2 Clean Sheet 18%
Riga FC 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valmiera 2 | Riga FC 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 18, 2024 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Riga FC 2
2:2
Jun 30, 2024 1. Liga
Riga FC 2 vs Valmiera 2
2:1
Sep 3, 2023 1. Liga
Riga FC 2 vs Valmiera 2
3:1
May 5, 2023 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Riga FC 2
1:3
Oct 14, 2022 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Riga FC 2
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valmiera 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Omori Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lucas Aruba
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Riga FC 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Pena B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Orosco B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valmiera 2 40 / 100
Riga FC 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valmiera 2 Riga FC 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valmiera 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Riga FC 2 conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Valmiera 2 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Valmiera 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Riga FC 2
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Valmiera 2
(Home) 10 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 0 Leevon PPK
02 Nov
Valmiera 2
2 : 0 Alberts JDFS
27 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 3 Skanste
18 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 2 Riga FC 2
05 Oct
Super Nova
4 : 1 Valmiera 2
Page 1 of 6
10 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 0 Leevon PPK
02 Nov
Valmiera 2
2 : 0 Alberts JDFS
27 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 3 Skanste
18 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 2 Riga FC 2
29 Sept
Valmiera 2
3 : 0 Ogre United
Page 1 of 3
Riga FC 2
(Away) 20 Sept
Marupe
0 : 0 Riga FC 2
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1 Leevon PPK
07 Sept
Riga FC 2
3 : 2 Skanste
29 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 1 Riga FC 2
24 Aug
Riga FC 2
1 : 3 Riga Mariners
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Marupe
0 : 0 Riga FC 2
29 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 1 Riga FC 2
08 Aug
Alberts JDFS
2 : 0 Riga FC 2
27 Jul
Valmiera
3 : 0 Riga FC 2
27 Jun
RFS 2
1 : 3 Riga FC 2
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Super Nova | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 65:11 | 65 |
| 2 | RFS 2 | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 71:18 | 63 |
| 3 | Alberts JDFS | 26 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 53:21 | 58 |
| 4 | Riga FC 2 | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 59:26 | 48 |
| 5 | Skanste | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 39:28 | 41 |
| 6 | Valmiera 2 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 41:39 | 34 |
| 7 | Marupe | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 8 | Leevon PPK | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 36:38 | 31 |
| 9 | AFA Olaine | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 45:50 | 30 |
| 10 | JFK Ventspils | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 32:37 | 30 |
| 11 | Ogre United | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 37:44 | 29 |
| 12 | Tukums 2000 2 | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 25:68 | 19 |
| 13 | FK Smiltene | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:62 | 17 |
| 14 | Rezekne | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 18:84 | 14 |
Promotion - Virsliga 2025 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2024 (Relegation)
