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Valmiera 2 vs Saldus SS/Leevon

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Baumanis R.

AI Match Summary

Saldus SS/Leevon in this 1. Liga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saldus SS/Leevon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Valmiera 2
30%
Draws
41%
Saldus SS/Leevon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saldus SS/Leevon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Valmiera 2 haven't matched Saldus SS/Leevon's recent run of results.
  • Valmiera 2 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Valmiera 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Saldus SS/Leevon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera 2 Saldus SS/Leevon
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2023 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Saldus SS/Leevon
0:1
Jul 29, 2023 1. Liga
Saldus SS/Leevon vs Valmiera 2
1:1
Aug 20, 2022 1. Liga
Saldus SS/Leevon vs Valmiera 2
3:4
Apr 16, 2022 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Saldus SS/Leevon
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmiera 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Saldus SS/Leevon Compare

Top Goalscorer Baumanis R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 2 41 / 100
Saldus SS/Leevon 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera 2 Saldus SS/Leevon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Valmiera 2 scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Saldus SS/Leevon conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Valmiera 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valmiera 2 VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmiera 2

(Home)
10 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 0
Leevon PPK
02 Nov
Valmiera 2
2 : 0
Alberts JDFS
27 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 3
Skanste
18 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 2
Riga FC 2
05 Oct
Super Nova
4 : 1
Valmiera 2
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Saldus SS/Leevon

(Away)
12 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 1
Saldus SS/Leevon
04 Nov
Grobina
1 : 0
Saldus SS/Leevon
29 Oct
Riga FC 2
2 : 2
Saldus SS/Leevon
22 Oct
Saldus SS/Leevon
3 : 0
Rezekne
08 Oct
Beitar
2 : 0
Saldus SS/Leevon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grobina 26 21 3 2 71:17 66
2 Riga FC 2 26 20 4 2 85:15 64
3 Skanste 26 19 2 5 58:21 59
4 Alberts JDFS 26 13 8 5 60:36 47
5 Saldus SS/Leevon 26 12 4 10 40:28 40
6 RFS 2 26 11 4 11 58:42 37
7 Beitar 26 11 2 13 41:66 35
8 Tukums 2000 2 26 10 3 13 41:54 33
9 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 24:29 30
10 Valmiera 2 26 7 7 12 30:40 28
11 AFA Olaine 26 5 8 13 36:61 23
12 FK Smiltene 26 6 4 16 31:67 22
13 Dinamo Riga 26 5 3 18 27:66 18
14 Rezekne 26 3 4 19 18:78 13
Promotion - Virsliga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Relegation)