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Valmiera 2 vs Saldus SS/Leevon

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Baumanis R.

AI Match Summary

Saldus SS/Leevon in this 1. Liga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saldus SS/Leevon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Valmiera 2
20%
Draws
38%
Saldus SS/Leevon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valmiera 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Valmiera 2 haven't matched Saldus SS/Leevon's recent run of results.
  • Valmiera 2 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Valmiera 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Saldus SS/Leevon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera 2 Saldus SS/Leevon
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2023 Nakotnes liga
Valmiera 2 vs Saldus SS/Leevon
0:1
Jul 29, 2023 Nakotnes liga
Saldus SS/Leevon vs Valmiera 2
1:1
Aug 20, 2022 Nakotnes liga
Saldus SS/Leevon vs Valmiera 2
3:4
Apr 16, 2022 Nakotnes liga
Valmiera 2 vs Saldus SS/Leevon
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmiera 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Saldus SS/Leevon Compare

Top Goalscorer Baumanis R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 2 41 / 100
Saldus SS/Leevon 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera 2 Saldus SS/Leevon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valmiera 2 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (35 games).

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Saldus SS/Leevon conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Valmiera 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valmiera 2 VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmiera 2

(Home)
10 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 0
Leevon PPK
02 Nov
Valmiera 2
2 : 0
Alberts JDFS
27 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 3
Skanste
18 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 2
Riga FC 2
05 Oct
Super Nova
4 : 1
Valmiera 2
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Saldus SS/Leevon

(Away)
12 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 1
Saldus SS/Leevon
04 Nov
Grobina
1 : 0
Saldus SS/Leevon
29 Oct
Riga FC 2
2 : 2
Saldus SS/Leevon
22 Oct
Saldus SS/Leevon
3 : 0
Rezekne
08 Oct
Beitar
2 : 0
Saldus SS/Leevon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grobina26213271:1766
2Riga FC 226204285:1564
3Skanste26192558:2159
4Alberts JDFS26138560:3647
5Saldus SS/Leevon261241040:2840
6RFS 2261141158:4237
7Beitar261121341:6635
8Tukums 2000 2261031341:5433
9JFK Ventspils26861224:2930
10Valmiera 226771230:4028
11AFA Olaine26581336:6123
12FK Smiltene26641631:6722
13Dinamo Riga26531827:6618
14Rezekne26341918:7813
Promotion - Virsliga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Relegation)