Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valmiera 2 vs Skanste

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2024 Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs, Valmiera
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bangura A.
11' Event
Smirnovs I.
Assist: Klavinskis R.
13'
Omori Y.

AI Match Summary

Skanste in this 1. Liga 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skanste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Valmiera 2
30%
Draws
41%
Skanste
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Skanste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Skanste lately — more wins on the board than Valmiera 2.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Valmiera 2 Clean Sheet 19%
Skanste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera 2 Skanste
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.53 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2024 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Skanste
2:3
Jul 5, 2024 1. Liga
Skanste vs Valmiera 2
1:0
Oct 21, 2023 1. Liga
Skanste vs Valmiera 2
1:2
Jun 30, 2023 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Skanste
2:3
Sep 18, 2022 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Skanste
8:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmiera 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stupelis O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rotar C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Skanste Compare

Top Goalscorer Bangura A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smirnovs I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 2 32 / 100
Skanste 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera 2 Skanste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skanste let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Valmiera 2 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Valmiera 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Skanste
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmiera 2

(Home)
10 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 0
Leevon PPK
02 Nov
Valmiera 2
2 : 0
Alberts JDFS
27 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 3
Skanste
18 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 2
Riga FC 2
05 Oct
Super Nova
4 : 1
Valmiera 2
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Skanste

(Away)
20 Sept
JFK Ventspils
1 : 0
Skanste
14 Sept
RFS 2
3 : 4
Skanste
07 Sept
Riga FC 2
3 : 2
Skanste
30 Aug
Skanste
6 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1 : 1
Skanste
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Super Nova 26 21 2 3 65:11 65
2 RFS 2 26 20 3 3 71:18 63
3 Alberts JDFS 26 19 1 6 53:21 58
4 Riga FC 2 26 13 9 4 59:26 48
5 Skanste 26 12 5 9 39:28 41
6 Valmiera 2 26 10 4 12 41:39 34
7 Marupe 26 9 6 11 25:44 33
8 Leevon PPK 26 9 4 13 36:38 31
9 AFA Olaine 26 8 6 12 45:50 30
10 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 32:37 30
11 Ogre United 26 7 8 11 37:44 29
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 5 4 17 25:68 19
13 FK Smiltene 26 4 5 17 24:62 17
14 Rezekne 26 3 5 18 18:84 14
Promotion - Virsliga 2025 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2024 (Relegation)