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Valmiera vs FK Ilukste

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1. Liga 2012
Valmiera Logo

Valmiera

1 - 2
FT
FK Ilukste Logo

FK Ilukste

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2012 game between Valmiera and FK Ilukste finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Ilukste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Valmiera
15%
Draws
0%
FK Ilukste
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valmiera come out ahead of FK Ilukste on wins alone.
  • Valmiera are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 20%
FK Ilukste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera FK Ilukste
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 3
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 2.8 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.3 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2012 1. Liga
FK Ilukste vs Valmiera
3:0
Jul 28, 2012 1. Liga
Valmiera vs FK Ilukste
1:2
Sep 15, 2007 1. Liga
FK Ilukste vs Valmiera
0:3
Jun 30, 2007 1. Liga
Valmiera vs FK Ilukste
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 85 / 100
FK Ilukste 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera FK Ilukste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valmiera's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FK Ilukste's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: FK Ilukste registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valmiera VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmiera

(Home)
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
Page 1 of 6

FK Ilukste

(Away)
09 Nov
FK Ilukste
2 : 10
FK Liepaja
02 Nov
FC Daugava Daugavpils
6 : 1
FK Ilukste
27 Oct
FK Ilukste
0 : 5
Ventspils
21 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
7 : 1
FK Ilukste
14 Oct
FK Ilukste
1 : 7
Ventspils
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liepajas Metalurgs 2 25 21 4 0 92:20 67
2 FK Ilukste 26 18 3 5 87:38 57
3 Skonto 2 26 17 5 4 56:32 56
4 BFC Daugavpils 26 15 7 4 49:20 52
5 RFS 26 16 3 7 62:33 51
6 Ventspils 2 26 15 3 8 57:37 48
7 FK 1625 Liepaja 26 11 7 8 47:45 40
8 Valmiera 26 8 3 15 39:53 27
9 Spartaks Jurmala 2 26 7 5 14 48:71 26
10 Rezekne 25 8 1 16 49:57 25
11 FK Metta 2 26 7 3 16 33:52 24
12 FK Auda Riga 26 6 3 17 36:51 21
13 Tukums 2000 26 4 1 21 28:116 13
14 Jelgava 2 26 3 2 21 29:87 11
Promotion - Virslīga 2013 (Main)
Promotion - Virslīga 2012 (Relegation)