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Valmiera vs RTU

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valmiera in this 1. Liga 2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valmiera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Valmiera
20%
Draws
7%
RTU
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valmiera lately — more wins on the board than RTU.
  • Model gives Valmiera a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Valmiera have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 20%
RTU Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera RTU
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.84 3.03
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2017 1. Liga
Valmiera vs RTU
4:3
Jul 23, 2017 1. Liga
RTU vs Valmiera
2:5
Jul 1, 2017 Latvian Cup
Valmiera vs RTU
2:1
Sep 18, 2016 1. Liga
RTU vs Valmiera
1:4
May 14, 2016 1. Liga
Valmiera vs RTU
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 85 / 100
RTU 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera RTU

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valmiera scored in 97% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

RTU's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Valmiera stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valmiera VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmiera

(Home)
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
Page 1 of 7

RTU

(Away)
13 May
RTU
0 : 3
JFC Viola
27 Jun
RTU
1 : 2
JFC Viola
23 Jul
Dobele Allegro
3 : 2
RTU
21 Oct
RTU
2 : 2
Grobina
13 Oct
Super Nova
3 : 0
RTU
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 22 18 4 0 75:21 58
2 AFA Olaine 22 15 3 4 47:14 48
3 BFC Daugavpils 22 15 2 5 58:14 47
4 Grobina 22 14 2 6 62:41 44
5 Tukums 2000 22 10 3 9 36:39 33
6 Alberts JDFS 22 8 4 10 23:32 28
7 Rezekne 22 8 4 10 40:47 28
8 FK Smiltene 22 7 5 10 28:48 26
9 RTU 22 8 0 14 42:52 24
10 FK Auda Riga 22 6 5 11 36:45 23
11 Preilu BJSS 22 4 2 16 26:67 14
12 Bebri 22 1 2 19 14:67 5
13 Jekabpils SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Ogre 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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