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Valmontone vs Ischia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Montanino R.
55' Event
Esposito G.
90' Event
Senesi Y.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 game between Valmontone and Ischia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ischia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Valmontone
20%
Draws
11%
Ischia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valmontone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valmontone come out ahead of Ischia on wins alone.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Valmontone taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Valmontone Clean Sheet 20%
Ischia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmontone Ischia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.43 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Valmontone vs Ischia
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Ischia vs Valmontone
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmontone Compare

Top Goalscorer Senesi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08

Ischia Compare

Top Goalscorer Montanino R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Esposito G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmontone 85 / 100
Ischia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmontone Ischia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmontone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ischia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Valmontone's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Valmontone has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valmontone VS Ischia
2.6 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
80% Over 1.5 50%
60% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmontone

(Home)
03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5
Valmontone
26 Apr
Valmontone
0 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
19 Apr
Cassino
0 : 2
Valmontone
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Budoni Calcio
2 : 3
Valmontone
Page 1 of 6

Ischia

(Away)
04 Oct
Ischia
1 : 1
Ebolitana
27 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Ischia
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
12 Sept
Ischia
2 : 2
Real Normanna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)