Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valmontone vs Latte Dolce

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Roberti F.
4' Event
Cabeccia M.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Cabeccia M.

AI Match Summary

Latte Dolce in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Latte Dolce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Valmontone
15%
Draws
21%
Latte Dolce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmontone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Latte Dolce at 1.69 per game, Valmontone at 1.43.
  • Model gives Valmontone a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Valmontone Clean Sheet 13%
Latte Dolce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmontone Latte Dolce
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Valmontone vs Latte Dolce
1:2
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Valmontone
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmontone Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberti F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Latte Dolce Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabeccia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmontone 84 / 100
Latte Dolce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmontone Latte Dolce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmontone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valmontone scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Latte Dolce let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Valmontone stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valmontone VS Latte Dolce
2.33 Goals Scored 2.13
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmontone

(Home)
03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5
Valmontone
26 Apr
Valmontone
0 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
19 Apr
Cassino
0 : 2
Valmontone
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Budoni Calcio
2 : 3
Valmontone
Page 1 of 6

Latte Dolce

(Away)
20 Sept
Latte Dolce
1 : 2
Citta di Anagni
16 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 2
Latte Dolce
12 Sept
Latte Dolce
2 : 3
Paganese
05 Sept
Ossese
3 : 0
Latte Dolce
13 Aug
Latte Dolce
2 : 1
Santa Teresa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)