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Valour vs Atletico Ottawa

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League 2025 Princess Auto Stadium, Winnipeg, MB
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Romeo R.
32' Event
Rodriguez D.
Assist: Tabla B.
39'
Tabla B.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League 2025 game between Valour and Atletico Ottawa finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Ottawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Valour
20%
Draws
40%
Atletico Ottawa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Ottawa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Valour are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Valour Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valour Atletico Ottawa
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Valour vs Atletico Ottawa
3:3
Aug 10, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Valour vs Atletico Ottawa
1:2
Jun 15, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Valour
3:0
May 10, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Valour
5:2
Sep 10, 2024 Canadian Premier League
Valour vs Atletico Ottawa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valour Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonoglou T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Atletico Ottawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salter S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valour 42 / 100
Atletico Ottawa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valour Atletico Ottawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Valour scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Atletico Ottawa conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

Away concern: Atletico Ottawa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atletico Ottawa
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Valour

(Home)
18 Oct
Pacific FC
1 : 4
Valour
11 Oct
Valour
0 : 3
HFX Wanderers
05 Oct
Valour
3 : 3
Atletico Ottawa
28 Sept
Inter Toronto
1 : 0
Valour
20 Sept
Cavalry
3 : 0
Valour
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Ottawa

(Away)
01 Aug
Vancouver FC
3 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
26 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Pacific FC
17 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
1 : 1
Inter Toronto
08 Jul
Supra du Quebec
3 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
04 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 3
Cavalry
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forge FC 28 16 10 2 51:22 58
2 Atletico Ottawa 28 15 11 2 54:28 56
3 Cavalry 28 11 9 8 47:36 42
4 HFX Wanderers 28 11 6 11 41:34 39
5 Inter Toronto 28 10 8 10 43:38 38
6 Valour 28 7 5 16 35:62 26
7 Pacific FC 28 5 8 15 30:59 23
8 Vancouver FC 28 4 9 15 35:57 21
Promotion - Canadian Premier League 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Canadian Premier League 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Canadian Premier League 2025 (Play Offs)