Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valtierrano vs Iruna

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iruna in this Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iruna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Valtierrano
30%
Draws
58%
Iruna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Iruna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Iruna have won more games recently than Valtierrano.
  • Model gives Iruna a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Valtierrano Clean Sheet 20%
Iruna Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valtierrano Iruna
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 2 20
Draws 6 10
Losses 23 6
Goals Scored 0.81 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.42 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valtierrano vs Iruna
1:3
Nov 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Iruna vs Valtierrano
4:0
Feb 28, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Iruna vs Valtierrano
0:0
Oct 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valtierrano vs Iruna
0:2
Mar 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valtierrano vs Iruna
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valtierrano 10 / 100
Iruna 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valtierrano Iruna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iruna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Valtierrano scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Iruna has conceded goals in 56% of their last 36 outings.

Valtierrano went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Iruna
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valtierrano

(Home)
13 May
CD Corellano
5 : 0
Valtierrano
06 May
Valtierrano
0 : 0
Txantrea
29 Apr
Oberena
3 : 0
Valtierrano
22 Apr
Valtierrano
1 : 3
Cirbonero
13 Apr
Idoya
3 : 0
Valtierrano
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Iruna

(Away)
13 May
Valle Egues
3 : 2
Iruna
05 May
Iruna
4 : 0
CD Baztan
28 Apr
CD Gares
1 : 1
Iruna
21 Apr
Iruna
1 : 1
Burlades
15 Apr
CD Cantolagua
2 : 1
Iruna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 38 25 7 6 73:35 82
2 Iruna 38 24 7 7 66:32 79
3 Cirbonero 38 23 8 7 65:30 77
4 Cortes 38 19 7 12 51:35 64
5 Oberena 38 19 6 13 54:45 63
6 AD San Juan 38 16 14 8 60:42 62
7 Burlades 38 15 14 9 51:50 59
8 Idoya 38 17 6 15 51:47 57
9 Huarte 38 13 13 12 39:36 52
10 Txantrea 38 14 10 14 63:56 52
11 Subiza 38 14 8 16 65:62 50
12 CD Cantolagua 38 14 7 17 44:47 49
13 Valle Egues 38 12 9 17 51:49 45
14 CD River Ega 38 14 3 21 52:77 45
15 Pamplona 38 11 11 16 47:52 44
16 CD Corellano 38 11 11 16 49:56 44
17 CD Ardoi 38 11 11 16 39:46 44
18 CD Lourdes 38 10 10 18 37:56 40
19 Erriberri 38 7 8 23 27:69 29
20 Valtierrano 38 2 8 28 30:92 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)