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Valur vs Hafnarfjordur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Hlídarendi, Reykjavík
Valur Logo

Valur

Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Hafnarfjordur Logo

Hafnarfjordur

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Valur host Hafnarfjordur in the Besta deild karla. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Valur have averaged 1.67 scored and 2.17 conceded recently, against Hafnarfjordur's 1.41 scored and 1.86 conceded. Head-to-head, Valur have won 2 to Hafnarfjordur's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 2.25, favoring Valur. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Valur
30%
Draws
39%
Hafnarfjordur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hafnarfjordur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Hafnarfjordur haven't matched Valur's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Valur Clean Sheet 10%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur Hafnarfjordur
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.67 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Valur
2:0
Apr 23, 2026 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Hafnarfjordur
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Hafnarfjordur
4:4
Jul 27, 2025 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Hafnarfjordur
3:1
May 4, 2025 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Valur
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur 30 / 100
Hafnarfjordur 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur Hafnarfjordur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hafnarfjordur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valur scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Hafnarfjordur has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Valur went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valur VS Hafnarfjordur
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valur

(Home)
20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1
Valur
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 0
Valur
Page 1 of 6

Hafnarfjordur

(Away)
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2
Stjarnan
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valur 24 9 4 11 44:47 31
2 Stjarnan 24 9 4 11 46:55 31
3 Hafnarfjordur 24 6 9 9 35:41 27
4 KA Akureyri 24 6 5 13 38:51 23
5 Thor Akureyri 24 6 3 15 23:57 21
6 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 24 4 7 13 33:48 19
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)