Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valur vs Nordsjaelland

Europe Europe

Conference League Hlídarendi, Reykjavík
Thu, Aug 6, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Conference League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Nordsjaelland have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while Valur have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.25. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.44) point toward Nordsjaelland. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Valur
22%
Draws
60%
Nordsjaelland
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nordsjaelland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Valur haven't matched Nordsjaelland's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nordsjaelland's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Nordsjaelland arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Valur Clean Sheet 16%
Nordsjaelland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur Nordsjaelland
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 2 9
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur 19 / 100
Nordsjaelland 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur Nordsjaelland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nordsjaelland has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Valur scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Valur has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Nordsjaelland lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valur VS Nordsjaelland
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valur

(Home)
30 Jul
Zrinjski
2 : 2
Valur
23 Jul
Valur
1 : 0
Zrinjski
18 Jul
Valur
2 : 3
Fram
12 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 0
Valur
04 Jul
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 0
Valur
Page 1 of 6

Nordsjaelland

(Away)
30 Jul
Nordsjaelland
6 : 0
GAIS
26 Jul
Horsens
1 : 1
Nordsjaelland
23 Jul
GAIS
1 : 0
Nordsjaelland
21 Jul
Horsholm-Usserod
2 : 2
Nordsjaelland
17 Jul
Nordsjaelland
1 : 2
Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tre Fiori-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Floriana-
TBD-
TBD-
Drita-
Borac Banja Luka-
TBD-
TBD-
Petrocub Hincesti-
ML Vitebsk-
TBD-
TBD-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Inter Escaldes-
Vardar-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
Bissen-
TBD-
TBD-
Gyor-
Basaksehir-
TBD-
FK Sarajevo2
Inter Turku3
Vaduz-
TBD-
Mornar Bar2
Atletic Escaldes4
Mondorf2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Petrovac2
Zalgiris5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hajduk Split-
Partizan-
TBD-
UNA Strassen3
La Fiorita0
FK Panevezys-
TBD-
TBD-
Tobol-
Paks-
TBD-
TBD-
Panathinaikos-
Spartak Trnava-
TBD-
TBD-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
Vojvodina-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajax-
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Kalju3
Linfield2
FCSB-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Aluminij-
TBD-
Dinamo City4
FC Astana2
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
TBD-
Noah-
AF Elbasani1
BATE2
TBD-
Sion-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
TBD-
TBD-
Braga-
Neftci Baku-
TBD-
Din. Minsk2
Sileks1
Valur-
TBD-
TBD-
Zrinjski-
GAIS-
TBD-
TBD-
Nordsjaelland-
Dynamo Kyiv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Qarabag Agdam-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
Ludogorets-
Zilina-
TBD-
TBD-
GKS Katowice-
AEK Larnaca-
TBD-
TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Decic1
FK Liepaja3
TBD-
Austria Vienna-
Alashkert4
Yelimay Semey3
TBD-
CFR Cluj-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tromso-
Sheriff Tiraspol-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
St. Gallen-
Universitatea Cluj-
TBD-
TBD-
Brann-
Dila Gori3
Virtus2
TBD-
Apollon Limassol-
Lugano-
TBD-
TBD-
Dukagjini-
NSI Runavik3
Hamrun2
TBD-
Koper-
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
TBD-
Valletta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hammarby-
HJK-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Motherwell-
TBD-
TBD-
HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva6
TBD-
Hibernian-
Bravo-
TBD-
Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo6
IFK Goteborg-
TBD-
Caernarfon0
Levadia10
LNZ Cherkasy-
TBD-
TBD-
Gent-
FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Zira FK6
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma4
TBD-
Rapid Vienna-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.2
FC Ballkani3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Midtjylland-
Debrecen-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan4
Polissya Zhytomyr-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Copenhagen-
Varazdin-
TBD-
TBD-
Jablonec-
Glentoran1
RFS4
TBD-
Vestri-
Rijeka-
TBD-
TBD-
Derry City-
Vikingur3
Stjarnan5
Differdange1
Ilves3
Twente-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dun. Streda-
TBD-
Velez Mostar2
Milsami1
TBD-
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Quarter-finals
Tre Fiori-
TBD-
Floriana2
Drita3
Borac Banja Luka6
Petrocub Hincesti3
ML Vitebsk5
Sutjeska1
Flora2
TNS1
TBD-
Inter Escaldes-
Vardar4
Riga FC8
Bissen3
Gyor7
Basaksehir1
Inter Turku3
Vaduz6
Atletic Escaldes0
Dinamo Tbilisi5
Zalgiris7
TBD-
Hajduk Split-
Partizan5
UNA Strassen0
FK Panevezys2
Tobol3
Paks3
Panathinaikos4
Spartak Trnava0
CSKA 1948 Sofia1
Vojvodina2
Ajax8
Shelbourne6
Kalju4
FCSB3
FK Auda Riga7
Aluminij1
Dinamo City4
Zimbru Chisinau2
Noah3
BATE1
Sion5
Zeleznicar Pancevo0
Braga5
Neftci Baku3
Din. Minsk4
Valur3
Zrinjski2
GAIS1
Nordsjaelland6
Dynamo Kyiv-
TBD-
TBD-
Qarabag Agdam-
Hapoel Tel Aviv4
Ludogorets2
Zilina3
GKS Katowice4
AEK Larnaca3
Beitar Jerusalem4
FK Liepaja1
Austria Vienna5
Alashkert1
CFR Cluj4
TBD-
Tromso-
Sheriff Tiraspol-
TBD-
TBD-
St. Gallen-
Universitatea Cluj3
Brann5
Dila Gori0
Apollon Limassol7
Lugano6
Dukagjini1
NSI Runavik4
Koper3
Rakow Czestochowa7
Valletta1
TBD-
Hammarby-
HJK8
Coleraine0
Motherwell5
HB Torshavn0
Malisheva3
Hibernian4
Bravo3
Shkendija Tetovo4
IFK Goteborg4
Levadia3
LNZ Cherkasy0
Gent1
Paide Linnameeskond2
Zira FK1
FC Santa Coloma3
Rapid Vienna9
Bohemians5
FC Ballkani4
TBD-
Midtjylland-
Debrecen1
Pyunik Yerevan0
Polissya Zhytomyr4
FC Copenhagen5
Varazdin3
Jablonec4
RFS5
Vestri2
Rijeka2
Derry City0
Stjarnan2
Ilves3
Twente-
TBD-
Dun. Streda4
Velez Mostar0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Semi-finals
Tre Fiori-
Drita-
Borac Banja Luka-
ML Vitebsk-
Flora-
Inter Escaldes-
Riga FC-
Gyor-
Inter Turku-
Vaduz-
Zalgiris-
Hajduk Split-
Partizan-
Tobol-
Panathinaikos-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
Ajax-
Shelbourne-
FK Auda Riga-
Dinamo City-
Noah-
Sion-
Braga-
Din. Minsk-
Valur-
Nordsjaelland-
Dynamo Kyiv-
Qarabag Agdam-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
GKS Katowice-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Austria Vienna-
CFR Cluj-
Tromso-
Sheriff Tiraspol-
St. Gallen-
Brann-
Apollon Limassol-
Lugano-
NSI Runavik-
Rakow Czestochowa-
Hammarby-
HJK-
Motherwell-
Hibernian-
Shkendija Tetovo-
IFK Goteborg-
Gent-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Rapid Vienna-
Bohemians-
Midtjylland-
Debrecen-
FC Copenhagen-
Jablonec-
RFS-
Rijeka-
Ilves-
Twente-
Dun. Streda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Final
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