Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Besta deild karla game between Valur and Stjarnan finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stjarnan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Stjarnan carry the better recent record into this one.
- Valur are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valur | Stjarnan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 2.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valur Compare
Stjarnan Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stjarnan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Valur scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Recent resilience: Valur stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Valur
(Home)Stjarnan
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 58:16 | 45 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 64:39 | 39 |
| 3 | Fram | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 45:34 | 37 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36:30 | 29 |
| 5 | Keflavik | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 30:34 | 25 |
| 6 | Valur | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 31:36 | 22 |
| 7 | Akranes | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 30:36 | 22 |
| 8 | Stjarnan | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 33:43 | 21 |
| 9 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 29:38 | 17 |
| 10 | Hafnarfjordur | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 22:32 | 17 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 24:36 | 15 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18:46 | 15 |
