Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valur vs Zrinjski

Europe Europe

Conference League Hlídarendi, Reykjavík
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
VS
07:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Conference League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Zrinjski have shipped 0.5 goals a game lately, while Valur have conceded 1.88 and scored 1.38. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 2.00) point toward Zrinjski. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Valur
6%
Draws
90%
Zrinjski
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zrinjski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zrinjski come out ahead of Valur on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Zrinjski's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Zrinjski arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Valur Clean Sheet 10%
Zrinjski Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur Zrinjski
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 2 7
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur 10 / 100
Zrinjski 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur Zrinjski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valur found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Zrinjski has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Valur went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valur VS Zrinjski
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valur

(Home)
18 Jul
Valur
2 : 3
Fram
12 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 0
Valur
04 Jul
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 0
Valur
28 Jun
Thor Akureyri
2 : 4
Valur
21 Jun
Valur
1 : 1
Keflavik
Page 1 of 6

Zrinjski

(Away)
17 Jul
Zrinjski
3 : 1
Posusje
16 Jul
Zrinjski
6 : 0
Arsenal Tivat
11 Jul
Siroki Brijeg
0 : 2
Zrinjski
04 Jul
Zrinjski
2 : 1
FK Sarajevo
26 May
Zrinjski
3 : 0
Velez Mostar
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rijeka-
TBD-
TBD-
Derry City-
Lugano-
TBD-
TBD-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
TBD-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan4
IFK Goteborg-
TBD-
Caernarfon0
Levadia10
Varazdin-
TBD-
TBD-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
TBD-
Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo6
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Kalju3
Linfield2
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
TBD-
Noah-
Aluminij-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana4
FC Astana2
AF Elbasani1
BATE2
TBD-
Sion-
Motherwell-
TBD-
TBD-
HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva6
TBD-
Hibernian-
Paks-
TBD-
TBD-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
TBD-
TBD-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
Ludogorets-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.2
FC Ballkani3
Vaduz-
TBD-
Mornar Bar2
Atletic Escaldes4
NSI Runavik3
Hamrun2
TBD-
Koper-
Partizan-
TBD-
UNA Strassen3
La Fiorita0
Basaksehir-
TBD-
FK Sarajevo2
Inter Turku3
HJK-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Glentoran1
RFS4
TBD-
Vestri-
Decic1
FK Liepaja3
TBD-
Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
TBD-
TBD-
Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
TBD-
TBD-
GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori3
Virtus2
TBD-
Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
TBD-
TBD-
Brann-
Valur-
TBD-
TBD-
Zrinjski-
Mondorf2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Petrovac2
Zalgiris5
Dun. Streda-
TBD-
Velez Mostar2
Milsami1
Vikingur3
Stjarnan5
Differdange1
Ilves3
FK Panevezys-
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TBD-
Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
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Din. Minsk2
Sileks1
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
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TBD-
Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Copenhagen-
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma4
TBD-
Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert4
Yelimay Semey3
TBD-
CFR Cluj-
FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Zira FK6
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Spartak Trnava-
TBD-
TBD-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
TBD-
TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Borac Banja Luka-
TBD-
TBD-
Petrocub Hincesti-
Bissen-
TBD-
TBD-
Gyor-
ML Vitebsk-
TBD-
TBD-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
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TBD-
TNS-
Floriana-
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Drita-
Vardar-
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Riga FC-
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Quarter-finals
Rijeka-
Derry City-
Lugano-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
Pyunik Yerevan-
IFK Goteborg-
Levadia-
Varazdin-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
Shkendija Tetovo-
Shelbourne-
Kalju-
Zimbru Chisinau-
Noah-
Aluminij-
Dinamo Tirana-
BATE-
Sion-
Motherwell-
HB Torshavn-
Malisheva-
Hibernian-
Paks-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
Ludogorets-
Bohemians-
FC Ballkani-
Vaduz-
Atletic Escaldes-
NSI Runavik-
Koper-
Partizan-
UNA Strassen-
Basaksehir-
Inter Turku-
HJK-
Coleraine-
RFS-
Vestri-
FK Liepaja-
Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori-
Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
Brann-
Valur-
Zrinjski-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Zalgiris-
Dun. Streda-
Velez Mostar-
Stjarnan-
Ilves-
FK Panevezys-
Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
Din. Minsk-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
FC Copenhagen-
FC Santa Coloma-
Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert-
CFR Cluj-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Zira FK-
Spartak Trnava-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Borac Banja Luka-
Petrocub Hincesti-
Bissen-
Gyor-
ML Vitebsk-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TNS-
Floriana-
Drita-
Vardar-
Riga FC-
TBD-
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Final
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