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Valur W vs Afturelding W

Iceland Iceland

League Cup Women 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valur W in this League Cup Women 2022 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Valur W
20%
Draws
34%
Afturelding W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valur W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Valur W have won more games recently than Afturelding W.
  • Model gives Valur W a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Valur W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Valur W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Valur W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Valur W Clean Sheet 20%
Afturelding W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur W Afturelding W
Matches Played 46 32
Wins 24 10
Draws 8 0
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 2.46 1
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2022 Besta deild Women
Afturelding W vs Valur W
1:3
Jun 7, 2022 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Afturelding W
6:1
Mar 7, 2022 League Cup Women
Valur W vs Afturelding W
3:0
Jun 6, 2014 Icelandic Cup Women
Afturelding W vs Valur W
2:4
Jul 22, 2011 Icelandic Cup Women
Afturelding W vs Valur W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur W 85 / 100
Afturelding W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur W Afturelding W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valur W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valur W found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (46 games).

Defensive concern: Afturelding W conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Valur W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valur W VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valur W

(Home)
25 Sept
Valur W
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik W
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 4
Valur W
30 Aug
Valur W
2 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
21 Aug
Thor/KA W
0 : 1
Valur W
Page 1 of 10

Afturelding W

(Away)
26 Apr
Afturelding W
1 : 2
Akranes W
19 Apr
Afturelding W
:
KH Hlidarendi W
19 Apr
Kopavogur W
2 : 0
Afturelding W
11 Jun
Afturelding W
1 : 4
Throttur W
19 May
Afturelding W
1 : 0
Vikingur Reykjavik W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 5 5 0 0 16:3 15
2 Stjarnan W 5 3 0 2 13:8 9
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 5 2 0 3 14:8 6
4 KR Reykjavik W 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
5 Selfoss W 5 1 1 3 2:12 4
6 Tindastoll W 5 1 1 3 4:15 4
Promotion - League Cup Women 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valur W 5 5 0 0 23:0 15
2 Afturelding W 5 3 1 1 11:7 10
3 Thor/KA W 5 3 0 2 9:10 9
4 Keflavik W 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
5 Throttur W 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
6 Fylkir W 5 1 0 4 2:17 3
Promotion - League Cup Women 2022 (Play Offs)