Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valur W vs Keflavik W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women 2024 Hlíðarendi Stadium, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Danielsdottir A.
28' Event
Jonsdottir R.
Assist: Fridriksdottir F.
43'
Petursdottir A.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild Women 2024 game between Valur W and Keflavik W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valur W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Valur W
20%
Draws
42%
Keflavik W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Keflavik W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Valur W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Valur W a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Besta deild Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Valur W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Valur W Clean Sheet 68%
Keflavik W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur W Keflavik W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.26 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Keflavik W
2:1
May 8, 2024 Besta deild Women
Keflavik W vs Valur W
1:2
Feb 9, 2024 League Cup Women
Valur W vs Keflavik W
4:0
Aug 27, 2023 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Keflavik W
4:1
Jun 21, 2023 Besta deild Women
Keflavik W vs Valur W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonsdottir R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Keflavik W Compare

Top Goalscorer Danielsdottir A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur W 50 / 100
Keflavik W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur W Keflavik W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valur W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keflavik W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Valur W scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Valur W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valur W VS Keflavik W
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valur W

(Home)
02 Oct
Fram W
1 : 2
Valur W
25 Sept
Valur W
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik W
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 4
Valur W
30 Aug
Valur W
2 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
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Keflavik W

(Away)
15 May
Keflavik W
0 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik W
26 Apr
KT Reykjavik W
3 : 8
Keflavik W
18 Apr
Keflavik W
2 : 1
KR Reykjavik W
28 Apr
Keflavik W
2 : 3
Grindavik/Njardvik W
14 Mar
Vikingur Reykjavik W
0 : 3
Keflavik W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valur W 18 16 1 1 48:16 49
2 Breidablik W 18 16 0 2 46:9 48
3 Thor/KA W 18 9 3 6 40:28 30
4 Vikingur Reykjavik W 18 8 5 5 28:29 29
5 Hafnarfjordur W 18 8 1 9 30:36 25
6 Throttur W 18 7 2 9 23:27 23
7 Stjarnan W 18 6 3 9 22:34 21
8 Tindastoll W 18 3 4 11 20:41 13
9 Fylkir W 18 2 4 12 17:34 10
10 Keflavik W 18 3 1 14 16:36 10
Promotion - Besta deild Women 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild Women 2024 (Relegation Group)