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Valur W vs KR Reykjavik W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

League Cup Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 8-1, with Valur W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Valur W
20%
Draws
34%
KR Reykjavik W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valur W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Valur W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Valur W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Valur W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Valur W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Valur W Clean Sheet 20%
KR Reykjavik W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur W KR Reykjavik W
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 1
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 2.05 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.43 3.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2023 League Cup Women
Valur W vs KR Reykjavik W
8:1
Sep 9, 2022 Besta deild Women
KR Reykjavik W vs Valur W
0:6
Jun 10, 2022 Icelandic Cup Women
Valur W vs KR Reykjavik W
3:0
May 19, 2022 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs KR Reykjavik W
9:1
Mar 5, 2021 League Cup Women
KR Reykjavik W vs Valur W
0:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur W 32 / 100
KR Reykjavik W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur W KR Reykjavik W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valur W's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

KR Reykjavik W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Solid form: Valur W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valur W VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valur W

(Home)
02 Oct
Fram W
1 : 2
Valur W
25 Sept
Valur W
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik W
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 4
Valur W
30 Aug
Valur W
2 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
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KR Reykjavik W

(Away)
18 Apr
Keflavik W
2 : 1
KR Reykjavik W
11 May
Thor/KA W
6 : 0
KR Reykjavik W
27 Apr
IR Reykjavik W
1 : 7
KR Reykjavik W
19 Apr
KT Reykjavik W
0 : 6
KR Reykjavik W
01 May
Grindavik W
2 : 1
KR Reykjavik W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Throttur W 5 5 0 0 24:3 15
2 Thor/KA W 5 4 0 1 21:10 12
3 Valur W 5 3 0 2 21:10 9
4 Selfoss W 5 2 0 3 11:20 6
5 Hafnarfjordur W 5 1 0 4 11:18 3
6 KR Reykjavik W 5 0 0 5 3:30 0
Promotion - League Cup Women 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 5 4 1 0 27:1 13
2 Stjarnan W 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
3 Tindastoll W 5 3 0 2 8:15 9
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
5 Keflavik W 5 1 0 4 4:18 3
6 Afturelding W 5 0 0 5 3:17 0
Promotion - League Cup Women 2023 (Play Offs)